Our Research


September 17, 2024

An Energy IPO?!?! Who Wants to Chat Ahead of the BKV Corporation (BKV) IPO Expected to Price Next Week?

By Timm Schneider

The better question is, who would not want to chat about the largest gas producer in the Barnett?! There is more to the business mix… Almost like a throwback to the early 2000’s… Unlike our…

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September 17, 2024

Which Energy & Utility Companies are Most Heavily Shorted (*Real Time*) Into Tomorrow’s Fed Decision…

By Timm Schneider

Within we share with you 1) Current Absolute Shares-on-Loan Utilization; and 2) W-W Changes in Absolute Shares-on-Loan Utilization for ~200 publicly traded corporates across 1) Midstream & Energy Infrastructure; 2) Clean Tech & Renewables; 3)…

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September 16, 2024

Top-Weighted TLN (Long) Position Provides Some Buffer as Model Portfolio Total Return Pares ~170Bps on the Week…

By Timm Schneider

Most discussed stocks and topics this week (irrespective of Model Portfolio): Takes from EQT Fireside Chat; Potential Gulf of Mexico Regulatory Issues; TRP/ SOBO; Broader sector positioning into FOMC meeting Wednesday; Model Portfolio Total Relative Return…

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September 15, 2024

Weekend Reading: Your News for the Week Ending September 15th

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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September 12, 2024

Natural Gas: Bullish 40Bcf Injection vs. Our 41Bcf Estimate and Consensus at 46Bcf Let’s Us (Re) Short the November (T+1) Contract…

By Timm Schneider

The weekly EIA natural gas storage number came in at 40Bcf versus our 41Bcf estimate and Consensus at 46Bcf. We used the pop as an opportunity to add to our short position and are currently…

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September 11, 2024

Sentiment Check Using Real-Time Short Interest Shows Surprising Drop in ‘SOL’ for Oilfield Services While Integrateds/ Majors & Refiners (Guess Not the Perceived Risk-Off?) Surge Higher… Interesting Pair Trade Read-Thrus

By Timm Schneider

**Charts best viewed on website (link below). Full details within. Please let us know if you would like to chat some implied pair trades…*** This is real-time data we receive from our prime broker, not…

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September 10, 2024

How Accretive Would the Top Five Most Talked About Hypothetical Energy Infrastructure M&A Scenarios Be?

By Timm Schneider

Companies Mentioned within (alphabetical order): DTM; ENB; ET; KMI; KNTK; LNG; MPLX; OKE; PAA; SOBO (TRP Spin-Co); TRGP; WES; WMB. Well, take a peek inside for a full summary. We analyze 1) FCF per share…

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September 9, 2024

Permian Activity Slows m/m While EF Continues to Grind Ahead *BUT* Permian (Oil & Gas) Permits Surge ~30% m/m (Matterhorn?!). Seems Bearish Gas, Again…

By Timm Schneider

Within, we provide some thoughts on The Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) most recent monthly ‘Summary of Drilling Permits, Completions and Plugging Reports Processed’ for the month of August ***Happy to chat on specific stock takes and…

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September 9, 2024

Model Portfolio Pares 200Bps to ~16% Total Return Since Inception as (Long) Upstream & Refining Positions Take a Beating…

By Timm Schneider

Most discussed stocks and topics this week (irrespective of Model Portfolio): Sector M&A Outlook (Who is next?); OKE; TRP; ENB; Canadian Upstream; Weakness in Refining; TLN (Analyst Day); Near-Term Natural Gas Outlook Model Portfolio Total Relative…

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September 8, 2024

Off to the Lancaster Air Show for a Ride in Hairless Joe… But Here are Your Weekly News for the Week Ending September 8th

By Timm Schneider

Hoping I made the right risk/ reward calculation here… This warbird, the Douglas C-47 Skytrain, was the most versatile aircraft to see combat in WWII. Derived from the commercial DC-3, the C-47 is described as…

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September 8, 2024

Off to the Lancaster Air Show for a Ride in Hairless Joe… But Here are Your Weekly News for the Week Ending September 8th

By Timm Schneider

Hoping I made the right risk/ reward calculation here… This warbird, the Douglas C-47 Skytrain, was the most versatile aircraft to see combat in WWII. Derived from the commercial DC-3, the C-47 is described as…

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September 7, 2024

Most Discussed Hypothetical Energy Infrastructure M&A Scenarios

By Timm Schneider

Following another string of recent Midstream/ Energy Infrastructure M&A announcements (Some Labor Day Reading: Will OKE be Able to Maintain a Premium Valuation? Was Medallion a Way for OKE to Get ENLC Uncontested?), we continue…

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September 4, 2024

Sentiment Check Using Real-Time Short Interest Shows Souring Sentiment Across the Board; Marcellus (E&P) Long vs. H’ville Short Thematic Pairs Emerge…

By Timm Schneider

**Charts best viewed on website (link below). Full details within*** This is real-time data we receive from our prime broker, not lagged data you see on Bloomberg, FactSet, etc. Shares on Loan (‘SOL’) are simply shares…

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September 4, 2024

Just for Fun… WMB Could Pay ~$55p/s for KNTK (~25% Premium) and Generate Mid-Teens Plus FCF/Share Accretion (Full Details Within)

By Timm Schneider

Why this scenario? A Bloomberg article earlier today (see Bloomberg website) noted WMB (N/R) had made an unsuccessful pass at Permian Power-house TRGP. Whether accurate or not, we don’t know. Nor does it matter for…

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September 2, 2024

Model Portfolio Total Return ~17.7% ahead of Fall Conference Season (lot of questions around potential deal announcements next week)

By Timm Schneider

Most discussed stocks and topics this week (irrespective of Model Portfolio): OKE (Long); ENLC; WMB; KMI; DVN; OVV; TLN; RRC; Natural Gas Outlook; Hypothetical M&A scenarios. We have also had a lot of investor discussions around…

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