Our Research


April 21, 2026

All Headlines, No Deadlines: No Bottom Line for Oil as Markets Price ‘Less Bad’ Instead of ‘No Barrels’

By Timm Schneider

at least as of ~17:30ET. But – as should be apparent by now – the situation literally changes by the minute and by post/ tweet. This might already be stale by the time you are…

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April 21, 2026

‘Things Done Changed’ – What Should FRMI Do Next: An Analysis Investors Have *NOT* Asked For…

By Timm Schneider

…but that several media outlets have reached out to us on (I don’t do TV as I have a face made for radio – it’s been a while since I dropped that one), and which…

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April 20, 2026

‘Fermi 2.0’ Outlined in Latest Press Release – Still Running with 0.0 Tenants

By Timm Schneider

***Please see within for full details as well as our thoughts on trading this one*** We believe Fermi’s new ‘Fermi 2.0’ press release is the board’s attempt to re‑cast what has become a highly public,…

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April 19, 2026

FRMI Follow‑Up: Who Could Buy This Thing (Purely Hypothetically, Of Course)

By Timm Schneider

Since we don’t have investment banking at TSCG (i.e. zero conflicts of interest versus traditional Sell-Side), we always love to speculate on the M&A side. We also note this in our initial report from yesterday:…

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April 19, 2026

Your Energy & Utility News for the Week Ending April 19th 2026

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are free of charge. However,…

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April 18, 2026

FRMI: Initial Feedback on the CEO Exit

By Timm Schneider

The immediate reaction to last night’s FRMI headline has been intense (stock down ~30%+ AH), but not one‑dimensional. On the tape, a surprise CEO departure in a down‑70–80% stock looks like the classic ‘last nail…

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April 18, 2026

Maximum Headline Theater Continues as POTUS Signals Iran Update by EOD Today

By Timm Schneider

Let’s see… We spent the last hour or so aggregating all the news flows since market close on Friday and provide a brief summary within. To us, this whole situation is (and has been) like…

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April 17, 2026

Love/ Hate Portfolio (LHP8) Grinds Out ~180bps in Volatile Week as FRMI Long Adds Outsized Gain

By Timm Schneider

Full position details within. We will close this one next Friday (April 24th). The Long side generated -40bps, with the Shorts up ~190bps. Please let us know if you would like to discuss the methodology…

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April 17, 2026

Top Ten Questions We Have Been Getting on the Latest Iran Situation

By Timm Schneider

Truth be told we don’t have all the answers because the fire hose of news, tweets, posts etc. is all over the place. Details within. Happy to chat through these. So what did we do?…

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April 16, 2026

The Top Ten Most Consensus Set-Ups in Energy Right Now

By Timm Schneider

Within we share what we believe (from our vantage point) are the most consensus set-ups at the moment and heading into earnings. Not saying consensus is necessarily wrong but it’s interesting for illustrative purposes. As…

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April 15, 2026

Here is what people want to talk about + Updated Model Portfolio Marks + Latest Love/Hate Positions

By Timm Schneider

Within we discuss: Top Ten current macro themes/ sector debates; and Key debates (very quick bullet format) for ~80 stocks across the energy value chain. Updated Model Portfolio marks (as of ~14:30 ET; +980bps since…

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April 13, 2026

We believe most people aren’t paying attention to three main things…

By Timm Schneider

when it comes to the Iran situation. This is us literally going through a plethora of twitter posts, news and conversations. We are on our way to nyc so doing this from my mobile apologies…

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April 13, 2026

This is a Really Cool *NEW* Cut of Quarterly Texas Oil & Gas Activity Levels… For Nerds Like Me at Least

By Timm Schneider

…and covering: 1) New Drills; 2) Total Oil & Gas Completions (New); 3) Total Gas completions (New); 4) Total Oil Permits; 5) Total Gas Permits; and 6) Total Oil & Gas Permits for the following…

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April 12, 2026

Markets Likely Reaction to POTUS’ Latest Hormuz Gambit

By Timm Schneider

There are several news articles out this am (as well as a Truth Social post) indicating the U.S. Navy would begin blockading the Strait of Hormuz (Read On). We also just listened to a live…

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April 12, 2026

Your Energy & Utility News for the Week Ending April 12th 2026

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are free of charge. However,…

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