Our Research

Within, please find our latest short-term sentiment based trading book – LHP12. Ten longs, ten shorts. ***Full position details within*** (While we equally weigh all these positions on each side – love vs. hate –…

…while our cumulative return on our short-term (two week holding period; sentiment weighted) Love/ Hate Portfolios reaches a 2026 high at +750bps. Recall our Love/ Hate portfolios are 10 longs (love) vs. 10 shorts (hate)….

This is down from ~75% on the heels of our previous analysis, given the relatively run-up in prices. We run this for both Brent and WTI (respective front months) and divide it into four scenarios…

We’ve received exactly zero inbound questions on the ABS market this year, which is funny because we literally just highlighted it post the EIC conference (see notes online). If Devon (DVN) is seriously weighing an…

…at least based on our estimates (full math & updated scenarios within)… plenty of debates bubbling to the top between oil bulls & bears. Read On. Within we cover: Major newsflow since Friday’s (5-25-2026) close…

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they…

We were long crude into today’s selloff, we lost real money on the Iranian TV ‘MOU’ headline, and we added to the position into the weakness – not because we enjoy the pain, but because…

We put together a detailed table within highlighting: 1) Supposed MOU terms (11 total); 2) What each actually does; 3) Relative Winner (U.S. vs. Iran); and 4) Oil-market impact. The table format is the easiest…

Not sure if I agree with that one *BUT* we don’t go by emotions here – this is purely based on sentiment/ technicals. Also this data is as of Friday so – would have figured…

as a follow-up to our note from yesterday (Your Weekend Oil Update (as of ~10:15AM ET). This includes all the available information (from sources we deem credible online) and POTUS latest post on Truth Social…

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they…

We have to time stamp these because tweets/ posts move markets so fast. POTUS’ latest tweet (at ~10:10 AM; see below and within for a more detailed interpretation) initially sent both Brent & WTI ripping…

…while the FRMI short was the biggest loser – albeit ‘only’ down ~10% versus 20% this time last week. Full position details within. We will have Love/ Hate Portfolio 11 (LHP11) out over the weekend….

…yes – that is Bayonne, NJ… Read On Happy Friday. Within we share the second part of our key takes from the most recent EIC conference in Miami. For reference, here is the link to…

***Full details within – WARNING: This is longer than our usual notes, so we decided to break this into two parts. If you prefer catching up over a call, please let us know. We are…