Our Research


October 20, 2024

Your Key Energy & Utility News for the Week Ending October 20th

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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October 19, 2024

KMI/ LBRT/ SLB Conference Calls Lead Us to Open a new Natural Gas Spread Trade: A Few Key Sector Takes. We Need a ‘Gassy’ Long…

By Timm Schneider

Last week, Q3 earnings season kicked off. Since we don’t just focus on one Energy sub-sector (like our Sell-Side counterparts) we believe we have a unique angle in identifying both ongoing and developing themes in…

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October 18, 2024

Model Portfolio Pares ~100Bps w/w as Relative Energy Overweight Cuts into Gains; Nat Gas E&P & Driller Shorts, TLN Long, Provide Some Relief; We (Fortunately) Closed our TRP Short This Week

By Timm Schneider

Most discussed stocks and topics this week (irrespective of Model Portfolio): KMI/ LBRT/ SLB Read Throughs; What is happening in Natural Gas markets (i.e. how much worse can it get); DVN; COP; RRC; CTRA; EXE; EQT;…

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October 17, 2024

Your Weekly Energy & Utility Sentiment Gauge Tracking Changes in Real Time Short Interest

By Timm Schneider

Within, we share with you real-time 1) Current Absolute Shares-on-Loan Utilization; 2) W-W % Changes in Absolute Shares-on-Loan Utilization; 3) Borrow; and 4) Changes in 4-week moving average shares-on-loan utilization for ~200 publicly traded corporates…

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October 16, 2024

Kinder Morgan (KMI; N/R): Break-Up to Unlock Value…

By Timm Schneider

…is one of the more interesting discussions from today’s earnings call. And was shut down in quick order by management. We don’t believe KMI breaks up. However, the call just made us think about a…

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October 15, 2024

Is Growth Cool Again Vs. Simply Returning Cash to Shareholders? Topical Issues into Q3 Earnings Season and Beyond. Closing our (Disappointing) TRP Short…

By Timm Schneider

Within we provide a collection of thoughts around some of the more topical issues we believe will push to the fore in the upcoming Q3 earnings season. Ping us for some tactical trade ideas specifically…

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October 14, 2024

Ahead of the Earnings Calls: Taking a Closer Look at y/y Texas Activity Levels for Q3’24 (Wells Drilled/ Oil & Gas Completions/ Permits by Well Type)

By Timm Schneider

Within we provide a detailed breakout of Upstream activity levels in Texas for Q3’24 compared to Q3’23. Our analysis is based on publicly available data from the Railroad Commission of Texas. We break this data…

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October 13, 2024

Your Energy & Utility News Summary for the Week Ending October 13th

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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October 13, 2024

Your Energy & Utility News Summary for the Week Ending October 13th

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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October 11, 2024

Model Portfolio adds ~300Bps of Total Return; TLN Long and HP Short Are Standout *Under* Performers

By Timm Schneider

Most discussed stocks and topics this week (irrespective of Model Portfolio): Natural Gas Macro; Hurricane Milton impacts; Geopolitical Tensions (on crude oil side); Positioning into quarter; KMI; ET; WMB; NFE; EXE; DVN; VTLE; EQT; Model Portfolio…

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October 10, 2024

Texas Tea Time: Large Increase in both m/m and y/y Drilling & (Oil) Completion Activity As Permits Fall for September. Led by the Permian… What Else?!

By Timm Schneider

Within, we provide our thoughts on The Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) most recent monthly ‘Summary of Drilling Permits, Completions and Plugging Reports Processed’ for the month of September. ***Happy to chat on specific stock takes and…

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October 10, 2024

Natural Gas: Updated Storage Balances; Injection at 82Bcf vs. our 75- 80Bcf Range and Consensus at 72- 75Bcf

By Timm Schneider

Please see within for our 1) updated storage balances; 2) preliminary injection estimate for next week; 3) a few hypothetical scenarios; and 4) our current trading positioning on the gas side. As always, please let…

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October 9, 2024

Natural Gas: We Are Estimating a Slightly Bearish Injection of 75 – 80Bcf vs. Consensus Median Ranges of 72- 75Bcf

By Timm Schneider

We will have updated storage balance projections tomorrow post the EIA release at 10:30AM ET. We currently have no open positions, though that may change w/ electronic trading overnight or in the am. A few…

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October 9, 2024

An Early Look at Investor Sentiment Heading into Q3 Earnings (Part 1) Using our Real Time Short Interest Analysis

By Timm Schneider

This will be a two part series to make it easier to digest. We using our underlying real-time shares-on-loan utilization estimates as a foundation for the analysis. As we continue to build out this product…

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October 6, 2024

Your Weekly News for the Week Ending October 6th

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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