Our Research


January 28, 2025

***New Tactical Trade Ideas: Venture Global (VG) Long/ Short Set-Up…

By Timm Schneider

For our clients, we are outlining two new tactical pair trade ideas within. As always, please let us know if you have any questions. Updated valuation for today’s spreads and Plaquemines volumes within. Timm Tactical…

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January 27, 2025

Eerily Quiet as ‘Deepseek’ Drama Leads to AI/ Electrification/ Momentum Theme Unwind…

By Timm Schneider

A few thoughts on today’s trading action and some of our investor discussions within. We look at ~200 Corporates across six subsectors. Below we show 1) Equity performance today (as of ~14:00 ET); 2) Performance…

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January 26, 2025

Survey Portfolio Pares 20Bps. BE Short was Biggest Loser. HAL Short & CEG and NPWR Longs led the Gainers…

By Timm Schneider

Please see the detailed note within for which stocks survey takers (Read On) have gotten right, and which ones have been duds. Recall On November 14th we went live with the ‘Survey Portfolio.’ This is a…

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January 26, 2025

Your Energy & Utilities News Summary for the Week Ending January 26th 2025

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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January 26, 2025

Your Energy & Utilities News Summary for the Week Ending January 26th 2025

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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January 24, 2025

Venture Global (VG): Very ‘Blah’ Open at ~$24 vs. ~$25 Pricing; We are at ~$31 (NAV) Fair Value and ~$21 ‘Stress Test’ Case

By Timm Schneider

It is finally out… very mediocre open at ~$24p/s versus the mid-price at ~$25. Attaching our latest slide deck, which includes full NAV breakdown for both our ‘Fair Value’ and ‘Stress Test’ case. ***We also…

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January 23, 2025

VG: Remember the old Nintendo? This is like ‘Super Mario Brothers’ of LNG – for Better or Worse. Full Stress Test Within. Defending this at ~$25 or below. Intrinsic Value ~$33.

By Timm Schneider

source: TSCG; ChatGPT Super Mario Brothers? Remember when you got the temporary power up, like the Star or the Mushroom, or the Fireball? You basically have 30 seconds to crush. It is temporary – *BUT*…

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January 22, 2025

How Accurate is Our *Most Loved* vs. *Most Hated* Stock Gauge? Last Week’s *Most Loved* was up ~37% w/w (Best out of our ~200 Issuer Coverage Group) + Full Details for this Week…

By Timm Schneider

Going forward, we will be including a table showing the prior week’s *Most Loved* and *Most Hated* stocks based on our proprietary SOL screen in order to identify any common trends. A few common themes…

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January 22, 2025

Venture Global (VG): From Worst to First? Almost ~50% Cut to Initial Pricing Range (I mean…) Now Offers Interesting Upside to our Intrinsic Valuation (***UPDATED SLIDE DECK***)

By Timm Schneider

This morning, Venture Global (VG) repriced the offering range to $23 – $27 per share from an initial ~$40 – $46 per share. The offering was upsized to ~70mm from ~50mm. I mean… in my…

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January 20, 2025

Survey Portfolio: Rough Week as *All* 33 Shorts Lose Money; Let’s Look at Some of the Biggest Losers (and Winners) Since Inception on Nov-14th 2024

By Timm Schneider

Please see the detailed note within for which stocks survey takers (Read On) have gotten right, and which ones have been duds. Recall On November 14th we went live with the ‘Survey Portfolio.’ This is a…

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January 19, 2025

SLB (N/R): ‘Notable Quotables’ from Earnings Call Highlight Bifurcated 2025 OFS Dynamics…

By Timm Schneider

Truth be told, we do not get a ton of client questions on the OFS sector these days, as most see better value elsewhere. I do have a soft spot for the sector given my…

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January 19, 2025

Your Energy & Utilities News Summary for the Week Ending January 18th 2025

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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January 18, 2025

Venture Global (VG) IPO: Our Final Valuation Range is $32 – $34p/s vs. Pricing Range of $40 – $46. What Gives?

By Timm Schneider

Barring any last-minute surprises, we expect this deal to price on Monday, January 23rd – and as of now, we haven’t heard otherwise. What we also haven’t heard? Any definitive updates on potential adjustments to…

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January 16, 2025

Framing Recent Investor Discussions Ahead of the Earnings Grind… VG IPO Still ‘Hottest’ Topic

By Timm Schneider

SLB kicks off another round of quarterly Energy earnings reports tomorrow. We figured this would be a good time to catch-up on some recent talking points. The Venture Global (VG) IPO remains (by far) the…

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January 15, 2025

Who Wants to Guess the Low-Ball Venture Global (VG) Valuation Estimate ($ per share) we have received (so far)?!

By Timm Schneider

Ok fine! I will share with clients within (see link below or check out our website). If you are not a client yet (??) and want to guess, send me your estimate (and any thoughts…

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