Our Research


April 2, 2026

Model Portfolio: Updated Marks Ahead of the Long Weekend – Full Review of Utes & IPPs in Progress

By Timm Schneider

Within we provide our updated Model Portfolio marks as of ~11AM ET on Thursday April 2nd. The Model Portfolio is up ~780bps since inception on January 9th 2026. There are 40 Longs vs. 31 Shorts….

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March 31, 2026

April Is Going to Be Our Month of the Vaca Muerta

By Timm Schneider

We’re getting annoyed with the Iran situation and the constant twitter doomscrooling – and we believe the basin – ‘ Vaca Muerta’ – and opportunities are under-covered by NAM analysts. We had previously highlighted client…

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March 30, 2026

Tallgrass (Private): Any Read-Throughs on Today’s Announced Leadership Changes?

By Timm Schneider

thoughts within… plus our super-out-of-consensus ‘smash-co’ idea. Timm Link to release: Tallgrass Announces Executive Leadership Transitions Of course, our first thoughts: Investors will naturally ask two questions: 1) was this a cordial transition; and 2)…

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March 30, 2026

Introducing Love/ Hate Portfolio 7 (LHP7) as Some Really Clear Positioning Themes Emerge

By Timm Schneider

probably the most clear we have seen in a long time. Full position details within for the ten Longs and ten Shorts. We will close this on April 10th. LHP7 has big shoes to fill…

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March 29, 2026

Your Energy & Utility News for the Week Ending March 29th 2026

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are free of charge. However,…

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March 28, 2026

Brent & WTI: Let’s Call the Sunday Electronic Open…

By Timm Schneider

Monitoring weekend news on oil (‘Final Blow’ or ‘Final Blowback:’ Updated WTI/ Brent & Spread Scenarios) has become par for the course since the beginning of March and we continue to have many discussions on…

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March 28, 2026

Latest Sentiment Driven Love/Hate Portfolio (LHP6) Has Best Two Weeks on Record…

By Timm Schneider

…with a total average ~660bps relative return across ten longs and ten shorts since inception on 3/13/206. Excluding MLPs (and using a C-Corp only coonstruct) would have a netted a total average return of ~800bps…

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March 27, 2026

‘We get the higher-for-longer story, but where are we late, and where is everyone still too scared…’

By Timm Schneider

…is a question that kept pushing to the fore in our client conversations this week. A ton of our conversations are also spent on the geopolitical situation in Iran and potential outcomes, especially as they…

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March 26, 2026

Latest POTUS ‘Tweet’ Briefly Nose-Dives Oil; Could be a ‘Fun’ 24 hours of Trading Until Friday’s Close

By Timm Schneider

In case you missed the tweet: The White House on X: “”As per Iranian Government request, please let this statement serve to represent that I am pausing the period of Energy Plant destruction by 10…

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March 26, 2026

‘Final Blow’ or ‘Final Blowback:’ Updated WTI/ Brent & Spread Scenarios

By Timm Schneider

Earlier, Axios reported that the U.S. is apparently looking at several ‘final blow’ options for the Iran war if no deal is reached shortly – according to ‘sources’ with knowledge. Interesting negotiating tactic with the…

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March 25, 2026

Model Portfolio: Closing Our FRMI Short for a ~26% Total Return

By Timm Schneider

***We now need a new short idea to replace FRMI – suggestions welcome – anything is fair game across the Energy & Utility value chain*** Please see latest Model Portfolio within. Yes – we realize…

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March 25, 2026

Breaking News: Latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey Shows Operators May Actually Stay Disciplined

By Timm Schneider

The latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey released earlier today was really interesting because it covered the period of March 11- 19th – so right in the middle of the ongoing Iran conflict. There were a…

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March 24, 2026

VLO: Large Fire Reported at Port Arthur Refinery Complex; Apparently the Diesel Hydrotreater & Fluid Cat Cracker

By Timm Schneider

We are following the situation as it is happening real-time. A few thoughts on impacts wthin. So far no decision as of a total plant shutdown (per Bloomberg; ~22:30 ET). At this time first and…

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March 22, 2026

Your Energy & Utility News for the Week Ending March 22nd 2026

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are free of charge. However,…

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March 22, 2026

‘Tweet’ Dreams Are Made of This: Game-Theory Scenarios Under POTUS’ 48-Hour Ultimatum Post (T-28 Hours)

By Timm Schneider

Within, we outline four updated, probability weighted, scenarios and associated WTI/ Brent/ and Brent-WTI trading ranges. U.S. A / Iran 2 (see boxes within): Escalate + keep Hormuz closed (base case; ~45- 50%); U.S. B…

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