Our Research


September 3, 2023

Set-Up into Lehman Energy Conference: OFS w/ Largest Decrease in Real Time ‘SOL’ utilization; Refiners/ Majors Higher… Details on ~200 Companies Inside

By Timm Schneider

…Or whatever they call the conference these days (Speaking as a former Lehman Brothers Alum). We will be in NYC doing meetings with corporates and investors. Ping us if you want to meet, thought the…

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September 3, 2023

‘Sunday Funday’ Energy News Catch-Up: Tough Week for Offshore Wind…

By Timm Schneider

Happy Sunday –  Hope you are having a nice weekend. Please see within for some interesting news articles from the week focused on: General Energy & Deal News Solar Wind LNG Hydrogen & Ammonia Oil…

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September 2, 2023

Is the ‘Squeeze Worth the Juice’ w/ UW OKE vs. OW MMP?; UW PLUG & UW NEE Biggest Winners on Short Side; Model Portfolio +10.3% Relative

By Timm Schneider

Within we provide a performance summary of 1) Our model portfolio (based on survey results for our 2H’23 Outlook; Link); and 2) Our recent Trade Ideas.  We closed out O/W KMI (+optional WMB/TRPG) vs. U/W TRP &…

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August 30, 2023

Fireworks in Tulsa… or Attrition Warfare? MMP Takes Shots At Dissident(s); Maintain U/W OKE O/W MMP.

By Timm Schneider

***Our EXCEL back-up data is available upon request*** Key Take: While there is a lot to discuss post MMP’s most recent press release & deal presentation post the close yesterday, it doesn’t change our positioning in…

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August 29, 2023

Spent the last two days going through XOM Outlook… Then MMP Drops This Presentation Post Close…

By Timm Schneider

Which, of course, takes priority for now since we have three trading calls associated with the pending OKE vs. MMP transaction: U/W OKE vs. O/W MMP U/W OKE vs. O/W MMP & O/W KMI (Equal…

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August 28, 2023

Solar would be required to deploy at six times the recent historic rate over the next three decades, and wind at about four times the recent rate…

By Timm Schneider

…To attain the level of renewables envisioned in the (‘Bridge to Lower two degrees;’ IPCC) scenarios. XOM’s outlook assumes solar and wind will be deployed at about twice the historic rate, considering available policy support…

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August 28, 2023

‘SOL’ Mondays: Week-over-Week Bearish Bets Decrease Most for Oilfield Services and Energy Infrastructure/ Midstream…

By Timm Schneider

**Excel Data Available Upon Request*** Shares on Loan (‘SOL’) are simply shares that lenders (agent + other) have lent to market participants wanting to ‘short’ a particular security. For our analysis, ‘Utilization’ is defined as shares on…

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August 27, 2023

Introducing ‘Sunday Funday’ Energy News Catch-Up…

By Timm Schneider

Happy Sunday –  Hope you are having a nice weekend. With the end of summer rapidly approaching, we thought it would be timely to roll out a simple product to help you get caught up with…

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August 27, 2023

Introducing ‘Sunday Funday’ Energy News Catch-Up…

By Timm Schneider

Happy Sunday –  Hope you are having a nice weekend. With the end of summer rapidly approaching, we thought it would be timely to roll out a simple product to help you get caught up with…

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August 26, 2023

Model Portfolio & Trade Performance: U/W PLUG Remains Biggest Gainer; U/W OKE vs. O/W MMP Back to Even; Ton of Question on Our ‘Five Questions E-mail’…

By Timm Schneider

Within we provide a performance summary of 1) Our model portfolio (based on survey results for our 2H’23 Outlook; Link); and 2) Our recent Trade Ideas.  We closed out O/W KMI (+optional WMB/TRPG) vs. U/W TRP &…

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August 24, 2023

Five questions…

By Timm Schneider

…We have been getting recently. Going to Guns N’ Roses concert today at Wrigley in what is likely hottest day in a decade in Chicago so may not make it BUT here you go… Why…

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August 23, 2023

(More) Shots Fired… How to Hedge an OKE/ MMP Deal Break (*Which is an unlikely scenario, in our view*)

By Timm Schneider

***For those wanting to reduce some risk exposure around a potential OKE/ MMP deal break (not our base case) we like: 1) U/W OKE vs. 2) O/W MMP (~50% sized) + O/W KNTK (~40% sized) +…

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August 22, 2023

‘That Merger Fest Is Not Real’ (TMFINR)… Is It!? PLUS: ‘Timm, Send Us Your Deal Sheet’ & Latest Thoughts on Strategic Initiatives (PR/ ESTE)

By Timm Schneider

That ‘Merger Fest,’ is, in fact, very real. And to be sure, despite varying opinions depending on transaction, we are not complaining. Extensive M&A activity and Strategic Initiatives had been one of our key investment…

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August 21, 2023

‘SOL’ Mondays: HE/ GEL/ WES/ AMTX/ FLNC/ TS/ UAN/ CEQP/ NS/ ENB/ EQNR Show Large(st) Moves in W/W % utilization (Full company details within)

By Timm Schneider

***Excel Data Available Upon Request*** Shares on Loan (‘SOL’) are simply shares that lenders (agent + other) have lent to market participants wanting to ‘short’ a particular security. Generally speaking ‘utilization’ is the ratio of demand-to-supply…

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August 20, 2023

If You Are Heading to Las Vegas This Week… Just Remember, You Can’t Lose What You Don’t Put in the Middle…

By Timm Schneider

But you can’t win much either! For your Sunday night reading, we are including our top three most read notes so far for August. We are also working on a new trade idea that would…

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