Our Research


January 20, 2025

Survey Portfolio: Rough Week as *All* 33 Shorts Lose Money; Let’s Look at Some of the Biggest Losers (and Winners) Since Inception on Nov-14th 2024

By Timm Schneider

Please see the detailed note within for which stocks survey takers (Read On) have gotten right, and which ones have been duds. Recall On November 14th we went live with the ‘Survey Portfolio.’ This is a…

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January 19, 2025

SLB (N/R): ‘Notable Quotables’ from Earnings Call Highlight Bifurcated 2025 OFS Dynamics…

By Timm Schneider

Truth be told, we do not get a ton of client questions on the OFS sector these days, as most see better value elsewhere. I do have a soft spot for the sector given my…

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January 19, 2025

Your Energy & Utilities News Summary for the Week Ending January 18th 2025

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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January 18, 2025

Venture Global (VG) IPO: Our Final Valuation Range is $32 – $34p/s vs. Pricing Range of $40 – $46. What Gives?

By Timm Schneider

Barring any last-minute surprises, we expect this deal to price on Monday, January 23rd – and as of now, we haven’t heard otherwise. What we also haven’t heard? Any definitive updates on potential adjustments to…

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January 16, 2025

Framing Recent Investor Discussions Ahead of the Earnings Grind… VG IPO Still ‘Hottest’ Topic

By Timm Schneider

SLB kicks off another round of quarterly Energy earnings reports tomorrow. We figured this would be a good time to catch-up on some recent talking points. The Venture Global (VG) IPO remains (by far) the…

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January 15, 2025

Who Wants to Guess the Low-Ball Venture Global (VG) Valuation Estimate ($ per share) we have received (so far)?!

By Timm Schneider

Ok fine! I will share with clients within (see link below or check out our website). If you are not a client yet (??) and want to guess, send me your estimate (and any thoughts…

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January 15, 2025

Short-Term Sentiment (Matters): Most *LOVED* and *HATED* Equities in Energy & Utilities (~200 Issuers) Over the Last Week (1/15/2025)

By Timm Schneider

We are adding this to spice up our weekly real time short interest analysis a bit. We believe investors are not fully utilizing this sentiment gauge, all else equal. So now we will be sharing…

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January 15, 2025

Your Price is Way Too High You Need to Cut It: Venture Global (VG) IPO Range of $40- $46p/s is Not Attractive (For New Public Investors…)

By Timm Schneider

We have published numerous reports on this, but in the interest of time let’s distill this down to the lowest common denominator: The current preliminary pricing range of ~$40 – $46p/s is not attractive to…

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January 14, 2025

Venture Global (VG) IPO: Our Updated 50-Slide ‘Prep Deck’ is Ready. Promise this is super easy to digest (lot of tables and charts)…

By Timm Schneider

We are attaching our most up-to-date VG IPO prep deck (in convenient powerpoint/ pdf format). Clients can access this directly via the link below. Within we show: Our updated per share valuation and how that…

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January 14, 2025

Natural Gas: 1) Go Somewhere Warm over MLK Weekend; 2) Macro (Spread) Thoughts on VG Valuation; and 3) Why Do I Continue to Trade this Volatile (NG) Mess…

By Timm Schneider

…let me answer the last question (3) first: It keeps me actively engaged with shorter-term market dynamics and overall has been quite additive to my understanding of natural gas markets (from more of a trading/…

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January 13, 2025

Venture Global (VG) IPO: Sensitivities and Implied EV and Equity Valuations (From -$4.00/mmbtu to +$20.00/mmbtu)

By Timm Schneider

We have made several changes to our initial (preliminary) VG NAV analysis from last night after listening to the company’s road show presentation (available online). Within, we provide a sensitivity analysis to various marketing spreads,…

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January 13, 2025

Venture Global (VG) IPO: Sensitivities and Implied EV and Equity Valuations (From -$4.00/mmbtu to +$20.00/mmbtu)

By Timm Schneider

We have made several changes to our initial (preliminary) VG NAV analysis from last night after listening to the company’s road show presentation (available online). Within, we provide a sensitivity analysis to various marketing spreads,…

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January 12, 2025

Venture Global (VG) IPO: Here is What We Believe VG is Worth (Enterprise & Implied Equity Valuation)

By Timm Schneider

We just finished our preliminary Venture Global NAV analysis. Excited to get this out… While the operating model itself is not entirely finished, we have put together a detailed asset level summary to derive preliminary…

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January 12, 2025

Your Energy & Utilities News Summary for the Week Ending January 12th 2025

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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January 11, 2025

Survey Portfolio: CEG Long to the Rescue…

By Timm Schneider

Please see within for which stocks survey takers (Read On) have gotten right, and which ones have been duds. Recall On November 14th we went live with the ‘Survey Portfolio.’ This is a collection of 33…

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