Our Research


February 2, 2025

A CADastrophy in the making? We Don’t Believe So, BUT Some Feedback on our ‘Tariff Trades’ and Macro Thoughts

By Timm Schneider

please see within. Please note we closed our NG1 long position after electronic trade open earlier tonight. Timm Thx to all who reached out to chat and discuss the set-up! Opinions are all over the…

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February 2, 2025

Your Energy & Utilities News Summary for the Week Ending February 2nd

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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February 1, 2025

Looks Like Tariffs are Happening: Macro Trading Strategies & Tactical Pair Trade Ideas

By Timm Schneider

Per the WSJ, looks like tariffs will kick in on Tuesday. Canada & Mexico will face a 25% tariff (with the exception of oil & gas – as we understand it, which will be at…

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February 1, 2025

U.S. Demand for Canadian Oil, eh: Detailed look by 1) PADD; 2) State; 3) and ~89 Individual Refiners/ Terminals (By Crude Slate)

By Timm Schneider

Within we take a detailed look at which 1) PADDs; 2) States; and 3) Individual Refineries have had the most ‘thirst’ for Canadian crude grades from January 2024 through November 2024. We have this data…

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January 31, 2025

Survey Portfolio Adds ~1.1% in Volatile Week; New VG Tactical Trade Ideas Add ~13% and ~11%…

By Timm Schneider

…since inception on Jan-28th (***New Tactical Trade Ideas: Venture Global (VG) Long/ Short Set-Up…). Please see the detailed note within for which stocks survey takers (Read On) have gotten right, and which ones have been…

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January 31, 2025

Natural Gas: Sentiment Generally Bearish; What are we Hearing from Folks?

By Timm Schneider

One of the (very) interesting attributes of our business model is that we don’t only speak to institutional (equity/ fixed income) investors, but also a lot of industry participants (operators; beyond the C-Suite boilerplate…) and…

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January 29, 2025

Short-Term Sentiment (Matters): Sifting Through the Carnage – Last Week’s Most Loved Outperformed Most Hated by ~440Bps Through Today…

By Timm Schneider

…with NEP having been the most timely stock outlined on the *Most Hated* list last week, heading into this week (down ~34%). VG is THE most hated stock this week. We currently have tactical Long/…

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January 28, 2025

***New Tactical Trade Ideas: Venture Global (VG) Long/ Short Set-Up…

By Timm Schneider

For our clients, we are outlining two new tactical pair trade ideas within. As always, please let us know if you have any questions. Updated valuation for today’s spreads and Plaquemines volumes within. Timm Tactical…

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January 27, 2025

Eerily Quiet as ‘Deepseek’ Drama Leads to AI/ Electrification/ Momentum Theme Unwind…

By Timm Schneider

A few thoughts on today’s trading action and some of our investor discussions within. We look at ~200 Corporates across six subsectors. Below we show 1) Equity performance today (as of ~14:00 ET); 2) Performance…

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January 26, 2025

Survey Portfolio Pares 20Bps. BE Short was Biggest Loser. HAL Short & CEG and NPWR Longs led the Gainers…

By Timm Schneider

Please see the detailed note within for which stocks survey takers (Read On) have gotten right, and which ones have been duds. Recall On November 14th we went live with the ‘Survey Portfolio.’ This is a…

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January 26, 2025

Your Energy & Utilities News Summary for the Week Ending January 26th 2025

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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January 26, 2025

Your Energy & Utilities News Summary for the Week Ending January 26th 2025

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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January 24, 2025

Venture Global (VG): Very ‘Blah’ Open at ~$24 vs. ~$25 Pricing; We are at ~$31 (NAV) Fair Value and ~$21 ‘Stress Test’ Case

By Timm Schneider

It is finally out… very mediocre open at ~$24p/s versus the mid-price at ~$25. Attaching our latest slide deck, which includes full NAV breakdown for both our ‘Fair Value’ and ‘Stress Test’ case. ***We also…

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January 23, 2025

VG: Remember the old Nintendo? This is like ‘Super Mario Brothers’ of LNG – for Better or Worse. Full Stress Test Within. Defending this at ~$25 or below. Intrinsic Value ~$33.

By Timm Schneider

source: TSCG; ChatGPT Super Mario Brothers? Remember when you got the temporary power up, like the Star or the Mushroom, or the Fireball? You basically have 30 seconds to crush. It is temporary – *BUT*…

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January 22, 2025

How Accurate is Our *Most Loved* vs. *Most Hated* Stock Gauge? Last Week’s *Most Loved* was up ~37% w/w (Best out of our ~200 Issuer Coverage Group) + Full Details for this Week…

By Timm Schneider

Going forward, we will be including a table showing the prior week’s *Most Loved* and *Most Hated* stocks based on our proprietary SOL screen in order to identify any common trends. A few common themes…

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