Our Research


March 17, 2025

Natural Gas: Near-Term Trading Range at ~$4- $4.25/mmbtu – All Else Equal…

By Timm Schneider

…which is a ‘must have’ not a ‘nice to have’ disclaimer in natural gas markets (the all else equal). We had a marginal short position on for NG1 (April; ~$4.19 mark; 10% of our max…

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March 17, 2025

PSX (N/R) vs. Elliott: Unpacked & Unbiased – An Updated Look

By Timm Schneider

Our latest analysis provides a brief summary of the current state of affairs in the ‘PSX vs. Elliott’ saga. We are incorporating all publicly available materials issued by both parties, including PSX’ latest fireside chats…

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March 16, 2025

Your Energy & Utilities News Summary for the Week Ending March 16th

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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March 16, 2025

Survey Portfolio Outperforms S&P 500 by ~300Bps Since Inception; ET/ EXE/ EQT Long & HP/ NESTE/ CIVI/ PBF Shorts Drive Weighted Gains; NPWR Long & BE Short Biggest Losers

By Timm Schneider

Please see the detailed note within for which stocks survey takers (Read On) have gotten right, and which ones have been duds. Recall On November 14th 2024 we went live with the ‘Survey Portfolio.’ This is…

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March 15, 2025

CERAWeek 2025: Strategic Insights for C-Suite Executives

By Timm Schneider

Prepared for C-Suite Executives (If you are not a subscriber and would like to see the content, please let us know). Date: March 15, 2025 Word Count: ~4,000 (Grab a Guinness and enjoy some pre-St….

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March 11, 2025

Changes in Active SOL Utilization Since Market Peak on Feb-19 Show Mood Has Soured Most on Upstream (No Surprise) and Midstream (Surprise)

By Timm Schneider

Real-Time SOL Utilization Insights Inside, we provide real-time data on: Current Absolute Shares-on-Loan (SOL) Utilization W/W % Changes in Absolute SOL Utilization Borrow Rates 4-Week Moving Average Changes in SOL Utilization This covers ~200 publicly…

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March 10, 2025

Texas Activity Levels Slow in February as Permian Takes a Breather; Permit Counts Hold Steady…

By Timm Schneider

Within, we provide our thoughts on The Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) most recent monthly ‘Summary of Drilling Permits, Completions and Plugging Reports Processed’ for the month of February 2025. ***Happy to chat on specific stock takes…

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March 10, 2025

Natural Gas: A Volatility – Driven Endurance Test; Holding Our Short… And Our Breath as Our Legerity is Put to the Test

By Timm Schneider

The 12-month natural gas strip has surged to an average $5, testing our conviction as we stay short the front month (April; $4.20/mmbtu basis vs. ~$4.59/mmbtu, +4.3% overnight). Our proprietary model suggests a fundamental overvaluation…

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March 9, 2025

Recent Discussions w/ Investors

By Timm Schneider

Happy Sunday –  Fresh off client meetings, we’re diving back into another round in NYC this week, capped by Vopak’s Capital Markets Day on Thursday. For the first time in ages, we’re skipping CERA Week…

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March 9, 2025

Your Energy & Utilities News Summary for the Week Ending March 7th

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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March 4, 2025

Enbridge (ENB) Analyst Day: Initial Quick Takes. Prefer TRP Relative

By Timm Schneider

Please see within for a quick summary. Meeting starts at 9AM ET. Happy to discuss. Timm Leading with the conclusion: Mostly reaffirmed estimates for 2025. Will come down to whether they are able to hit…

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March 2, 2025

Your Energy & Utilities News Summary for the Week Ending March 2nd

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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February 26, 2025

Thermal Maturity Trends in the Permian Basin

By Timm Schneider

We have been keeping an eye on thermal maturity trends in the Permian (specifically the Delaware) for several years. We highlighted this (most recently under The Schneider Capital Group umbrella) in 2023 following CVX’s analyst…

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February 24, 2025

Survey Portfolio Sputters Along; Tactical Pair Trades Eat Crow (For Now); Rolling our Natural Gas Short

By Timm Schneider

***We will be in NYC starting tomorrow Tue – 25th thru Fri – 28th. Please reach out to your analyst hub salesperson or me directly to schedule a time to connect*** Please see the detailed…

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February 23, 2025

Natural Gas: Will Shorts Strike Before the Front-Month Expires?

By Timm Schneider

looks like it – as of 11AM ET on Sunday. But weather runs are not finalized yet. Today’s early cycle is indicating production is starting to come back online post prolonged well freeze offs. Weekend…

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