Our Research


January 15, 2025

Who Wants to Guess the Low-Ball Venture Global (VG) Valuation Estimate ($ per share) we have received (so far)?!

By Timm Schneider

Ok fine! I will share with clients within (see link below or check out our website). If you are not a client yet (??) and want to guess, send me your estimate (and any thoughts…

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January 15, 2025

Short-Term Sentiment (Matters): Most *LOVED* and *HATED* Equities in Energy & Utilities (~200 Issuers) Over the Last Week (1/15/2025)

By Timm Schneider

We are adding this to spice up our weekly real time short interest analysis a bit. We believe investors are not fully utilizing this sentiment gauge, all else equal. So now we will be sharing…

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January 15, 2025

Your Price is Way Too High You Need to Cut It: Venture Global (VG) IPO Range of $40- $46p/s is Not Attractive (For New Public Investors…)

By Timm Schneider

We have published numerous reports on this, but in the interest of time let’s distill this down to the lowest common denominator: The current preliminary pricing range of ~$40 – $46p/s is not attractive to…

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January 14, 2025

Venture Global (VG) IPO: Our Updated 50-Slide ‘Prep Deck’ is Ready. Promise this is super easy to digest (lot of tables and charts)…

By Timm Schneider

We are attaching our most up-to-date VG IPO prep deck (in convenient powerpoint/ pdf format). Clients can access this directly via the link below. Within we show: Our updated per share valuation and how that…

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January 14, 2025

Natural Gas: 1) Go Somewhere Warm over MLK Weekend; 2) Macro (Spread) Thoughts on VG Valuation; and 3) Why Do I Continue to Trade this Volatile (NG) Mess…

By Timm Schneider

…let me answer the last question (3) first: It keeps me actively engaged with shorter-term market dynamics and overall has been quite additive to my understanding of natural gas markets (from more of a trading/…

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January 13, 2025

Venture Global (VG) IPO: Sensitivities and Implied EV and Equity Valuations (From -$4.00/mmbtu to +$20.00/mmbtu)

By Timm Schneider

We have made several changes to our initial (preliminary) VG NAV analysis from last night after listening to the company’s road show presentation (available online). Within, we provide a sensitivity analysis to various marketing spreads,…

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January 13, 2025

Venture Global (VG) IPO: Sensitivities and Implied EV and Equity Valuations (From -$4.00/mmbtu to +$20.00/mmbtu)

By Timm Schneider

We have made several changes to our initial (preliminary) VG NAV analysis from last night after listening to the company’s road show presentation (available online). Within, we provide a sensitivity analysis to various marketing spreads,…

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January 12, 2025

Venture Global (VG) IPO: Here is What We Believe VG is Worth (Enterprise & Implied Equity Valuation)

By Timm Schneider

We just finished our preliminary Venture Global NAV analysis. Excited to get this out… While the operating model itself is not entirely finished, we have put together a detailed asset level summary to derive preliminary…

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January 12, 2025

Your Energy & Utilities News Summary for the Week Ending January 12th 2025

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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January 11, 2025

Survey Portfolio: CEG Long to the Rescue…

By Timm Schneider

Please see within for which stocks survey takers (Read On) have gotten right, and which ones have been duds. Recall On November 14th we went live with the ‘Survey Portfolio.’ This is a collection of 33…

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January 9, 2025

Calcasieu: Le Jeu du Gaz qui Rend Heureux…

By Timm Schneider

Translation: ‘Calcasieu: The Gas Game That Brings Joy.‘ Depending on where along the value chain one is located, I guess… thx ChatGPT for the French touch. Calcasieu was very French sounding to us (makes sense…

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January 8, 2025

Short-Term Sentiment (Matters): Most *LOVED* and *HATED* Equities in Energy & Utilities (~200 Issuers)… A Few Interesting Observations

By Timm Schneider

We are adding this to spice up our weekly real time short interest analysis a bit. We believe investors are not fully utilizing this sentiment gauge, all else equal. So now we will be sharing…

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January 7, 2025

Questions we would ask Cheniere (LNG) management…

By Timm Schneider

…if 1) We happened to be down in Florida right now at a competitor conference (which we are not, as Central PA is too lovely this time of year. We just like ice cold wind…

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January 5, 2025

Your Energy & Utilities News Summary for the Week Ending January 5th 2025

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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January 4, 2025

Texas (Permian) D&C Activity Continues to Slide m/m as ‘Other’ Well Categories Drop Precipitously; Permit Counts Up Marginally

By Timm Schneider

Within, we provide our thoughts on The Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) most recent monthly ‘Summary of Drilling Permits, Completions and Plugging Reports Processed’ for the month of December 2024. ***Happy to chat on specific stock takes…

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