Our Research


July 13, 2024

WEEKEND READING: Your Energy News Summary for the Week Ending July 14th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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July 10, 2024

Weekly Sentiment Gauge (Tracking Real-Time ‘SOL’ Utilization) Notables: WES/PAA vs. TRP; VTNR vs. FREY; CRK vs. MTDR; CVI vs. EQNR; TS vs. NBR; HE vs. PNW/ SWX/ SO

By Timm Schneider

***Charts best viewed on website (link below). Full details within*** We believe the individual stock break-down is most helpful for those investors trying to gauge short-term sentiment changes. Stocks that caught our attention this week…

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July 9, 2024

Could DVN Become ‘The’ Bakken Consolidator (Part 1: Hypothetical DVN for CHRD Accretion/ Dilution Analysis)

By Timm Schneider

We *love* putting the cart in front of the proverbial horse… This will be a three part series. 1) DVN for CHRD (contained within); 2) DVN for CLR (Private); and 3) DVN for HES’ Bakken…

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July 8, 2024

Investor Feedback and some Thoughts on DVN’s (Long; 6% Weight) ~$5bn Grayson Mill Bakken Acquisition. COP, Just Buy DVN Already Please?!

By Timm Schneider

1) Conference Call Word Cloud; and 2) Most Used Words (we find this extremely telling in showing what management is trying to get across) within. Maintain long in the model portfolio at a 6% weight…

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July 8, 2024

Texas Oil & Gas Activity Continues its (Precipitous) Decline. We Can’t Reconcile This With Select Equity Price Performance…

By Timm Schneider

Happy to chat on specific stocks, as always. Earlier Today, The Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) released the monthly ‘Summary of Drilling Permits, Completions and Plugging Reports Processed’ for the month of June. Within we provide…

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July 8, 2024

Tell Me What You Really Think: 2H’24 Energy & Utility Outlook Survey (100% Anonymous; Works on Mobile…)

By Timm Schneider

Please feel free to share this link within your organization. We run this via surveymonkey so it is 100% anonymous. 1-2 mins max. Interested in your thoughts. Link to survey: TSCG 2H’24 Energy & Utility…

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July 7, 2024

Natural Gas: Freeport LNG Early Nominations Down to ~0.3bcf; Bulls & Bears Battle as Some TX Pipeline Operators Stop Taking Injections…

By Timm Schneider

First, with tropical storm Beryl rapidly approaching the Texas Gulf Coast, we hope everybody stays safe and sound. A storm surge of up to six feet is expected in certain areas with gusts up to…

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July 7, 2024

WEEKEND READING: Your Energy News Summary for the Week Ending July 7th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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July 5, 2024

Model Portfolio Pares ~130Bps as Heavy Weighted Renewable Shorts Claw Back

By Timm Schneider

Most discussed stocks this week (irrespective of Model Portfolio): NFE (Short); PAA/PAGP (N/R); TLNE (N/R); ET (Long); CVX (Long); PSX (Long); ENLC (Closed); APA (N/R); PR (Long). Key Takes: Our long book pared ~17bps and our short…

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July 3, 2024

New Fortress Energy (NFE; Short): Last Night’s Data Center Solutions Press Release Read Like a ‘Ketchup Sandwich…’

By Timm Schneider

Two buns, no meat… Link to release: New Fortress Energy Announces Launch of Klondike Digital Infrastructure to Develop Data Center Solutions On the stock, we find ourselves in the minority here (yet again) versus our…

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July 2, 2024

Hot… or Not? The Psychological Set-Up into Q2 Earnings Season (All Energy + Utilities)

By Timm Schneider

One of our preferred measures of sentiment on a stock is the implied return required to reach its previous 52-week high. Why? It can’t be ‘adjusted/ manipulated’ (in theory). It is out there for everyone…

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July 1, 2024

Model Portfolio Update: Reducing Our NEP Short Weight to 5% from 10%…

By Timm Schneider

…which is not reflective of us becoming more constructive on NEP, but rather a portfolio sizing (risk management) adjustment. Before todays weighting change, we had almost a third of our short book (15 total positions)…

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July 1, 2024

Natural Gas: We Estimate a 40bcf Injection versus Consensus at a 13- 76Bcf Range

By Timm Schneider

Please see within for: 1) Our expectation for the weekly storage number (7-3-2024 release due to the Holiday); 2) Our updated regional forecasts; and 3) updated end-of-injection season balances. ***Let us know if you would like…

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June 30, 2024

Our Top Seven Upstream Pair Trades Into the Q

By Timm Schneider

call us to walk through these. Pairs within. Long CNX vs. Short VTLE LONG CRC vs. Short CVX Long PBF vs. Short DINO Long APA vs. Short BP Long PR vs. Short OVV Long COP…

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June 30, 2024

WEEKEND READING: Your Energy News Summary for the Week Ending June 30th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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