Our Research


July 6, 2023

***NEXT WEEK: Reliable Power for a Low-Carbon Future…

By Timm Schneider

…An Interactive Discussion w/ Danny Rice (CEO) and Akash Patel (CFO) of NetPower (NYSE: NPWR) Details:  Tuesday, July 11th | 11AM ET Format: Virtual Registration: Click this link to submit interest NPWR started trading on the NYSE on…

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July 6, 2023

Some Feedback on the XOM 8-K From Yesterday… Focus Falls on International (Refining)

By Timm Schneider

We published our initial thoughts on XOM’s Q2’23 earnings considerations update yesterday: XOM 8-K Implies Nat Gas & Refining Margin Headwinds for Q2; +ve Chemicals. Based on some ongoing dialogues we believe: Buy-Side was ahead…

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July 5, 2023

XOM 8-K Implies Nat Gas & Refining Margin Headwinds for Q2; +ve Chemicals

By Timm Schneider

Link to document: XOM 8-K July 5th Q2’23 Earnings Details: Release at 6:30AM ET on Friday, July 28th 2023 on www.exxonmobil.com XOM 8-K out discussing some Q2’23 earnings considerations – all else equal. The biggest…

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July 3, 2023

This Week’s ‘SOL’ Outliers: TRP (+37% !)/ NPWR/ EQNR/ CLB (All Higher) & TELL/ AMTX/ MAXN/ SMR/ VTNR/ EVA/ PLUG (All Lower)

By Timm Schneider

***Please let us know if you have questions on the data. We show 1) w/w changes (%) in active utilization; 2) w/w changes in ‘borrow;’ and 3) Absolute current shares on loan utilization (%)*** For…

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July 1, 2023

Energy & Utility Returns Required To Hit 52-Week Highs… A Lot of Wood to Chop

By Timm Schneider

With Q2 officially drawing to an end yesterday, we took a quick look at Energy & Utility sector returns required to hit previous 52-week share price highs. There is a lot of wood to chop….

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June 30, 2023

Why do Golfers Take an Extra Pair of Socks When They Go Golfing?

By Timm Schneider

In case they get a hole in one! Yes, we liked that one as well… in any case… we are attaching links to a few of our recent most read notes. As always, happy to…

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June 30, 2023

OKE/ MMP by the Numbers: Prefer to Own MMP over OKE into Deal Vote But Warming up to Pro-Forma Structure…

By Timm Schneider

Happy Friday – ***Excel Available Upon Request*** We spent the last few days sifting through the S-4 in more detail and constructing a detailed sensitivity/ cash flow analysis around various moving pieces. We had been…

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June 27, 2023

2H’23 Outlook Survey Results (Part 2): Ammonia/ Hydrogen Voted ‘Most Overhyped…’ + Energy Macro Set-Up

By Timm Schneider

On Sunday, we published Part 1 of our 2H’23 Outlook survey focused on 1) Sector Positioning; and 2) Key Stock Picks. To quickly recap from a macro perspective, the survey showed respondents like a basket…

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June 26, 2023

Could Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Take a Look at Magellan (MMP)? Stock Calls in Various Deal Scenarios…

By Timm Schneider

And we only ask on the heels of this Barron’s article that came out earlier this afternoon: Magellan’s Deal With Oneok Could Derail. Should Berkshire Step In? (Barron’s June 26th, 2023). Lead us lead with our…

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June 26, 2023

Proprietary Analysis Shows Renewables/ Clean Tech Saw Largest w/w % Increases in ‘SOL’

By Timm Schneider

***Please let us know if you have questions on the data. We show 1) w/w changes (%) in active utilization; 2) w/w changes in ‘borrow;’ and 3) Absolute current shares on loan utilization (%)*** For…

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June 25, 2023

2H’23 Outlook Survey Results (Part 1): Sector Positioning & Key Stock Picks…

By Timm Schneider

Thx for the over 110 responses! Participant breakdown was as follows: 1) Corporate/ Portfolio Company (~31%); 2) Private Equity/ Infrastructure Fund (~22%); 3) Buy Side (~21%; LO + HF); 4) Capital Markets (~16%); 5) Other…

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June 23, 2023

And Our Most Read Note This Week Was…

By Timm Schneider

… Not surprisingly: OKE-MMP Preliminary Survey Results Reveal Interesting Hypothetical Outcomes We will try to have the full 2H’23 Outlook survey results out over the weekend/ early next week. On OKE- MMP, we can’t help…

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June 22, 2023

***Replay W/ Time Stamps*** Tax Credit Opportunities Post-IRA w/ Baker Botts

By Timm Schneider

Great call earlier today! Slides available upon request. Please find the replay here: link For your convenience, we have also time stamped the replay below. 00:21 – Timm Schneider Intro 01:25 – Doug Getten –…

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June 17, 2023

OKE – MMP: Preliminary Survey Results Reveal Interesting Hypothetical Outcomes…

By Timm Schneider

If you have not filled out our 2H’23 outlook survey, please do so here: link We asked a question around the recently announced merger proposal between Oneok (NYSE: OKE) and Magellan (NYSE: MMP). Read On. So far, we…

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June 14, 2023

SHEL vs. BP vs. CVX vs. XOM… ‘Mind the (Value) Gap’ or Fade the ‘Value Trap?’

By Timm Schneider

First of, please keep filling out the 2H’23 Outlook survey if you have not done so already (100% anonymous/ works on mobile/ 2 min… and so on): Link Within we provide 1) a visual summary…

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