Our Research


May 26, 2024

Your Weekly Energy News Summary for the Week Ending May 26th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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May 20, 2024

Sentiment Check: Bullish 1) OFS; 2) Midstream; 3) and Clean Tech. Bearish: 1) Integrateds & Refiners; 2) E&P; Mixed Utes…

By Timm Schneider

…on the heels of our updates ‘shares on loan utilization.’ We were a tad surprised at the relative bearishness on E&P stocks given the massive nat gas move higher. The two stocks with the largest…

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May 19, 2024

Natural Gas: Back to the Drawing Board… Taking a Look at Implied Storage Balances and Rolling Out Our Regional Storage Model

By Timm Schneider

With this note, we are rolling out our detailed regional natural gas storage model. We now track and forecast storage balances for the following regions: 1) Lower 48 Total; 2) East; 2) Pacific; 3) Mountain;…

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May 19, 2024

Your Weekly Energy News Summary for the Week Ending May 19th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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May 19, 2024

Your Weekly Energy News Summary for the Week Ending May 19th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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May 18, 2024

Model Portfolio Pares 350bps as Weakness in Short Book More Than Offsets Gains on Long Side

By Timm Schneider

Overall the model portfolio is up 8.4% since inception on January 10th. The long book is up 16.4% and the short book is down 8%. Our PLUG short was the biggest loser this week (-18%) as…

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May 14, 2024

‘The Summer of M&A’ Series Part I: We have spoken with a lot of M&A Bankers and Lawyers recently…

By Timm Schneider

…and we would really love for some large-scale M&A transactions to occur over the summer. They need to. Realistically, we believe the deal window ends at the end of summer – call it late August/…

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May 13, 2024

We Believe the EIA is Overestimating Domestic U.S. Gas Production by ~400mmcf/d for June (~90% Haynesville); Bakken Oil Forecast Seems Light by ~5%. Expanded Details Within

By Timm Schneider

…so what, who cares right? Domestic natural gas production is hovering ~98bcf/d. Ordinarily we would agree. However, the current set-up of: 1) expectations around continued (natural gas) production declines; 2) LNG export levels (~13bcf/d) not…

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May 12, 2024

What Should Energy Transfer (ET; Long) Buy Next? Detailed 27 Company M&A Analysis Within

By Timm Schneider

ET is often considered the proverbial ‘catcher’s mitt’ when it comes to Energy Infrastructure M&A. One ambitious social media participant recently referred to them as the ‘Tiger Shark of Midstream.’ Better a Tiger Shark than…

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May 12, 2024

Happy Mother’s Day! Your Weekly Energy News Summary for the Week Ending May 12th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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May 11, 2024

Key Takes from the Lone Star State (Call Us for M&A ‘Chatter’ and Industry Scuttlebutt…)

By Timm Schneider

We spent most of last week in Texas. We kicked the week off in Austin for the 2024 Latham & Watkins Executive Energy & Infrastructure Conference. The conference offered a great format as it was…

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May 10, 2024

Model Portfolio Flat For the Week: Tenacious Presence of More Buyers than Sellers on our NextEra & Orsted Short Positions…

By Timm Schneider

…continues to torpedo the short book. We actually met with some Orsted commercial folks earlier this week. Interesting discussion on the battery/ storage side of things. Weekly Performance of the ‘Long’ Book source: The Schneider…

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May 9, 2024

Since Last Week, Investors are Covering 1) Midstream; 2) Clean Energy; and 3) OFS Shorts While Adding to Integrated/ Majors/ Refiners Short Exposure…

By Timm Schneider

See within for detailed stock & sector observations as well as a brief tutorial for interpreting the SOL analysis.  We believe the individual stock break-down (we limit to top three for ease of viewing) is…

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May 6, 2024

1) Utilities; 2) IPPs; and 3) Midstream Voted as ‘Favorite’ Sectors to Play the AI/ Data Center/ Electrification ‘Revolution.’ Clean Tech/ Renewables ‘Least’

By Timm Schneider

Thx to the ~50 respondents who participated in our most recent survey. Overall, respondents were most bullish 1) Utilities; 2) IPPs; and 3) Midstream in terms of the AI/ Data Center/ Electrification theme. Interesting observation:…

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May 5, 2024

We Received a Few Questions on Our ‘DTM for ENLC Makes Sense. ET for ENLC Does Not’ Comment…

By Timm Schneider

For non-consensus M&A ideas, we also like: 1) TRGP for PAA; and 2) WMB for GEL. There are others as well. We will discuss these in future notes. We have run all of the accretion/…

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