Our Research


October 23, 2023

Real Time (‘SOL’) with Timm Schneider: Integrated & Refiner Short Interest Ticks Up as OFS Goes the Opposite Direction…

By Timm Schneider

***Excel Data Available Upon Request. Full Company Level Details (~200 Corporates) Within*** The following equities exhibited notable w/w changes in their active shares on loan utilization… Higher: GEL/ ARLP/ MPLX/ NPWR/ PAL/ TPIC/ EVA/ MTDR/…

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October 22, 2023

Outback or Chilis Tonight? Your Sunday News Summary…

By Timm Schneider

One of the greatest joys of moving out of Manhattan has been an abundance of delicious, reasonably priced chain food restaurants. Who needs L’Artusi anyways! Chilis is probably my favorite but may switch it up…

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October 20, 2023

In NJ They Pump Fists, Not Gas: KMI Terminal Asset Sales Could Be Highly Accretive at ~20x+ EBITDA…

By Timm Schneider

Did you Know: New Jersey is the only state left where it is illegal to pump your own gas. Hence most people in New Jersey prefer to pump their fists. New Jersey law states that…

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October 19, 2023

Feedback on this Week’s Rumored M&A Transactions… Can’t Wait What’s on Deck for Next Week

By Timm Schneider

So we got a few more unconfirmed M&A tales this week (links to Bloomberg news reports below). We’ve been aggregating some of the general comments and feedback we have collected. See within for details.  As…

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October 18, 2023

The Upstream ‘Shakeweight,’ Aggregators of Assets… or Aggregators, and are the Europeans simply ‘SOL’

By Timm Schneider

In a recent note (XOM for PXD is the Largest Announced M&A Deal Globally YTD) we highlighted some of the most discussed questions and topics with investors. We attempt to answer these within. Is this…

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October 17, 2023

Time for a Kinder View? KMI Kicks Off Energy Earnings Tomorrow…

By Timm Schneider

Leading with the conclusion (full details within): We continue to like this infrastructure laggard (-2.5% vs. broader infra Q3 thru today). There are a few items to look for on the call tomorrow, but no one…

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October 16, 2023

EIA Drilling Productivity Report Revises U.S. Oil & Gas Production Up ~1.5%+ For October…

By Timm Schneider

…though November Oil & Gas production is still indicated lower by ~0.5%. See report for details. Realize some folks don’t like the EIA data but the new drilling productivity report just got released today. LINK…

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October 16, 2023

Real Time (‘SOL’) with Timm Schneider: WTH is a Kilometer?! Interesting Divergence on the Canadians + General Set Up into Earnings…

By Timm Schneider

***Excel Data Available Upon Request. Full Company Level Details (~200 Corporates) Within*** We are now including a few high level observations and set-ups in the body as well. Shares on Loan (‘SOL’) are simply shares…

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October 15, 2023

PXD Out, OXY In; Is OW OKE vs. UW PAA/GP Still Good?; KMI Finally (Back) Above $17… Updates to the Model Portfolio + Performance Tracker

By Timm Schneider

Biggest Single Stock Losers (Since Inception): UW BP (-12%) UW VLO (-7%) OW KMI (-3%) UW XOM (-2%) Biggest Single Stock Winners (Since Inception): UW PLUG (+42%) UW NEE (+36%) OW COP (+21%) OW EOG…

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October 15, 2023

Across the Value Chain: Your Weekend Energy & Utility News… (Oct 15th 2023)

By Timm Schneider

***Please see below for a comprehensive summary of weekly news articles*** We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do,…

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October 13, 2023

OXY Is the Most Disliked Stock in Energy. We Are Adding it as OW to Our Model Portfolio…

By Timm Schneider

…to replace PXD after closing out our OW PXD vs. UW XOM trade earlier in the week (link). Recall we are choosing not to play the arb spread here. We maintain our UW on XOM…

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October 11, 2023

XOM/ PXD Is the Largest Announced M&A Deal Globally YTD… So Going to Do Something Different Here

By Timm Schneider

***We have had a ton of feedback/ discussions on this transaction today*** Because it is a special day for all of us in Energy (not counting the Broadcom deal since it was announced in 2022…

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October 11, 2023

***Closing Our OW PXD vs. UW XOM Pair; Investor Feedback Has Been Mixed on Deal***

By Timm Schneider

Effective immediately, we are removing our OW PXD and UW XOM trade ideas from our model portfolio. We initiated the positions on June 30th for a total return (share price only) of ~16%. With the…

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October 11, 2023

XOM for PXD Confirmed: Implied ~$253/sh All-Stock. Maintain OW PXD vs UW XOM Pending Additional Analysis

By Timm Schneider

Investor Call at 11AM CST/ 12PM EST Dial-In: 720.543.0217 Passcode: 2259793 Link to Prepared Remarks: XOM Prepared Remarks Link to Presentation: XOM – PXD Deal Presentation All-equity deal w/ exchange ratio of 2.3234 ExxonMobil shares for each…

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October 10, 2023

Feedback on our Plains (PAA/GP) Takeout Analysis (w/ Interesting Private Lender Take…)

By Timm Schneider

We identified 1) WMB; and 2) TRGP as the most ‘accretive’ potential buyers of the Plains’ Structure – at least in an excel spreadsheet. Followed by 3) KMI; and 4) ET & MPLX (Tie). By…

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