Our Research


June 5, 2024

Texas Oil Completions Nose-Dive in May While Gas Completions & Permit Counts Rise Slightly… I Have a Question for E&P Operators

By Timm Schneider

Yesterday, the Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) released the monthly ‘Summary of Drilling Permits, Completions and Plugging Reports Processed’ for the month of May. Within we provide a detailed analysis showing: 1) sequential (vs. April 2024);…

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June 5, 2024

Texas Oil Completions Nose-Dive in May While Gas Completions & Permit Counts Rise Slightly… I Have a Question for E&P Operators

By Timm Schneider

Yesterday, the Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) released the monthly ‘Summary of Drilling Permits, Completions and Plugging Reports Processed’ for the month of May. Within we provide a detailed analysis showing: 1) sequential (vs. April 2024);…

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June 4, 2024

2H Equity Returns Required To Reach 52-Week Highs for All Energy & Utility Sub-Sectors

By Timm Schneider

With the end of H1 as a marker, we took a look at equity returns required to reach respective 52-week highs for ~180 issuers across various energy & utility sub-sectors. Said differently, who is trading…

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June 3, 2024

Show Me the Money: CEO Compensation in the Energy Space – Who Can Maximize NPV by Selling (the Company)…

By Timm Schneider

***Please see within for full analysis and takeaways. Tables & charts are best viewed on website*** A few weeks ago we published a comprehensive sector M&A analysis (‘The Summer of M&A’ Series Part I: We…

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June 2, 2024

Your Weekly Energy News Summary for the Week Ending June 2nd 2024. Also I.I. Voting Season has started…

By Timm Schneider

…and I am extremely excited – for the first time ever – not to have to beg for votes like my bulge bracket counterparts 🙂 That said, I am extremely grateful for all your support…

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June 1, 2024

Model Portfolio: Wish I did not have to publish this… But the Truth Shall Set You Free!

By Timm Schneider

Overall the model portfolio is up 6.5% since inception on January 10th. The long book is up 15.2% and the short book is down 8.7%. Our NEE short position remains the largest underperformer (from being one…

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May 28, 2024

Effective Immediately, Energy Transfer (ET; Long) is Under Portfolio Review

By Timm Schneider

why? We are currently evaluating portfolio weights and ET is our largest holding on the long side at this time (17%). We are considering alternative weights and rankings for several of our model portfolio constituents….

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May 26, 2024

Your Weekly Energy News Summary for the Week Ending May 26th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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May 20, 2024

Sentiment Check: Bullish 1) OFS; 2) Midstream; 3) and Clean Tech. Bearish: 1) Integrateds & Refiners; 2) E&P; Mixed Utes…

By Timm Schneider

…on the heels of our updates ‘shares on loan utilization.’ We were a tad surprised at the relative bearishness on E&P stocks given the massive nat gas move higher. The two stocks with the largest…

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May 19, 2024

Natural Gas: Back to the Drawing Board… Taking a Look at Implied Storage Balances and Rolling Out Our Regional Storage Model

By Timm Schneider

With this note, we are rolling out our detailed regional natural gas storage model. We now track and forecast storage balances for the following regions: 1) Lower 48 Total; 2) East; 2) Pacific; 3) Mountain;…

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May 19, 2024

Your Weekly Energy News Summary for the Week Ending May 19th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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May 19, 2024

Your Weekly Energy News Summary for the Week Ending May 19th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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May 18, 2024

Model Portfolio Pares 350bps as Weakness in Short Book More Than Offsets Gains on Long Side

By Timm Schneider

Overall the model portfolio is up 8.4% since inception on January 10th. The long book is up 16.4% and the short book is down 8%. Our PLUG short was the biggest loser this week (-18%) as…

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May 14, 2024

‘The Summer of M&A’ Series Part I: We have spoken with a lot of M&A Bankers and Lawyers recently…

By Timm Schneider

…and we would really love for some large-scale M&A transactions to occur over the summer. They need to. Realistically, we believe the deal window ends at the end of summer – call it late August/…

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May 13, 2024

We Believe the EIA is Overestimating Domestic U.S. Gas Production by ~400mmcf/d for June (~90% Haynesville); Bakken Oil Forecast Seems Light by ~5%. Expanded Details Within

By Timm Schneider

…so what, who cares right? Domestic natural gas production is hovering ~98bcf/d. Ordinarily we would agree. However, the current set-up of: 1) expectations around continued (natural gas) production declines; 2) LNG export levels (~13bcf/d) not…

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