Our Research


October 1, 2023

Across the Energy & Utility Value Chain: Weekly News Summary (For Week Ending 9-29-2023)

By Timm Schneider

We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are free of charge. However, in order to access the…

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September 30, 2023

‘Schadenfreude’ Pushes to the Fore As Renewables Continue(d) to Get Hammered in Q3…

By Timm Schneider

scha*den*freu*de. Noun. German. Pleasure derived from another’s misfortune. …Model Portfolio up ~12% in Q3 as UW NEE (+30%) & UW PLUG (+37%) add outsized gains. Refining UW was biggest loser in Q3. Refiners overall were…

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September 30, 2023

Been working on this Plains (PAA/GP) Takeout Scenario Analysis… What an Awesome Idea (*Eye Roll*)

By Timm Schneider

…As promised on Wednesday (If Pushback to UW Plains (PAA/GP) is ‘They Are a Takeout’… Who Could (Would) Buy Them?!). So far: Realizing this was a lot more fun (for me) when I had an…

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September 27, 2023

If Pushback to UW Plains (PAA/GP) Is ‘They Are a Takeout’… Who Could (Would) Buy Them?!

By Timm Schneider

We published a trade idea on Friday: OW OKE vs. UW PAA/GP (link) Today we published feedback to the trade idea: The ‘Bakken Sucks’ and ‘Plains is a Takeout Candidate…’ Ok great! So you think…

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September 27, 2023

Pushback to our OW OKE & UW PAA/GP Call: The ‘Bakken Sucks’ and ‘Plains is a Takeout Candidate…’

By Timm Schneider

…has been one piece of pushback that has been lobbed at us on the heels of our OW OKE vs. UW PAA/PAGP call (link). Truth be told, this isn’t a new thesis and has simply…

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September 25, 2023

Short Sellers Ease Off 1) E&Ps; and 2) Integrateds/ Refiners While Increasing ‘Renewable/ Alt Energy’ Shorts…

By Timm Schneider

***Excel Data Available Upon Request. Full Company Level Details (~200 Corporates) Within*** Shares on Loan (‘SOL’) are simply shares that lenders (agent + other) have lent to market participants wanting to ‘short’ a particular security. For…

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September 25, 2023

***Initiating New Pair Trade: OW OKE vs. UW PAA/ PAGP***

By Timm Schneider

On Friday September 22nd, we moved OKE to an OW (Moving OKE to OW. Is Permian Oil the Fitting UW?). We spent the weekend contemplating various underweight ‘match-ups,’ following our initial comments from Friday. Quick…

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September 24, 2023

Question of the Week: Is $100 oil good or bad for energy (stocks) + All weekly news…

By Timm Schneider

…I personally think it’s not great. Interested in your take. Random question – I know – but I keep thinking about it. I kind of like the ‘question of the week’ adder… hopefully will get…

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September 23, 2023

Model Portfolio Grinds Back ~200bps w/w as UW PLUG & NEE Offset (Painful) Refining Short; OW KMI Hurts; Should Have Added AES UW…

By Timm Schneider

Happy Saturday – This week, we closed four tactical trade ideas on the heels of the OKE/ MMP deal vote approval (Effective Immediately We Are Closing Four Tactical Trade Ideas and *ALL* U/W OKE Positions)….

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September 22, 2023

Moving OKE (pronounced ONE-OAK) to O/W… Is Permian Oil the Fitting (U/W) Pair? (Still Debating This One…)

By Timm Schneider

So… we actually didn’t realize (until now) that OKE puts the pronunciation of their company name in the press releases (‘ONE-OAK’), BUT figured in that case we will add it as well. Just to make…

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September 21, 2023

Taking a Closer Look at Today’s Energy Infrastructure Money Flow (Bull & Bear Takes)

By Timm Schneider

***Happy to run this for E&P/ Renewables/ OFS/ Integrateds + Refiners/ Utes… Let me know*** Tough day in the market with the QQQ (NASDAQ 100) & SPX (S&P 500) down ~2% and ~1.65%, respectively. S&P…

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September 21, 2023

Effective Immediately, We are Closing Four Tactical Trade Ideas and *All* U/W OKE Positions

By Timm Schneider

Following the approval of the OKE/ MMP combination earlier today, we are closing out four tactical trade ideas into today’s vote. Please see within for full details. For MMP, ~76% of the voted units were…

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September 19, 2023

OKE Could be Worth ~$78/share Pro-Forma; Framing the Set-Up Into Thursday

By Timm Schneider

The OKE/MMP vote is on deck for Thursday, September 21st. We expect results to be released at 10AM CST/ 11AM EST on Thursday. Per the partnership agreement, MMP can adjourn the meeting for an additional…

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September 18, 2023

EIA Drilling Productivity Report Shows Continued Declines in Permian; Bakken & Niobrara Resilient

By Timm Schneider

Realize some folks don’t like the EIA data but the new drilling productivity report just got released today. Here is the link: EIA Drilling Report Released 9-18-2023 A few key observations: Versus the August release,…

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September 18, 2023

‘SOL’ Outliers: CQP/ CEQP/ WES/ PAA+GP/ TRP/ SMR/ MAXN/ NPWR/ EVA/ WTI/ OXY/ CIVI/ DVN/ RRC/ SU/ CNQ/ EQNR/ PTEN/ ACDC/ AGR/ HE/ PNM…

By Timm Schneider

***Excel Data Available Upon Request. Full Company Level Details (~200 Corporates) Within*** Shares on Loan (‘SOL’) are simply shares that lenders (agent + other) have lent to market participants wanting to ‘short’ a particular security. For…

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