Our Research


July 29, 2025

Here are all the Answers to the ‘Top Ten Questions’ Post Our PJM Capacity Auction Note Last Week

By Timm Schneider

Last week we shared our thoughts on the PJM capacity auction results: PJM Capacity Auction Results Exceed Consensus Expectations… How Lucky I am to Live in Bucolic Central PA (Eye Roll) For reference, here are…

Read More >>

July 29, 2025

Solar is Kind of Hot Right Now (Pun Intended)

By Timm Schneider

Putting real money on the line via our natural gas trading has forced us to pay attention to a lot of ancillary industries outside of just traditional energy. Earlier today, we listened to the Corning…

Read More >>

July 28, 2025

ARLP (N/R): The Most Bullish on Domestic Coal In Over Two Years…

By Timm Schneider

…per the company’s conference call earlier today. Full details within. We also provide switching economics (coal vs. nat gas) within for PJM for 2026, based on ARLP sales price guidance (more for illustrative purposes). We…

Read More >>

July 28, 2025

‘TAS, Give Me a Good Reason to Own Enterprise (EPD)’

By Timm Schneider

…has been the most asked question today post the company’s Q2 results and earnings call earlier today. The ‘A’ is for Axel btw – for the curious. We will have some more detailed thoughts out…

Read More >>

July 24, 2025

GOOG Capex +15%. ROIC? Who Knows. Stock Higher. Midstream Capex Up One Dollar. ~20% ROIC. Stock Down 25%… Sign of the Times?

By Timm Schneider

*title for illustrative purposes only… but also kind of par for the course. As the ongoing Energy revolution has forced our hand in substantially broadening our energy eco-system focus (and we do not mind it…

Read More >>

July 23, 2025

BKR/ HAL/ SLB: Navigating Volatility… Quick Takes from the Large Three OFS Companies

By Timm Schneider

OFS is one of *THE* most hated sub-sectors in Energy according to our most recent 2H’25 Outlook survey (Proprietary 2H’25 Outlook Survey Results Identify Key Trends, Stock Preferences, and Potential M&A Transactions…). With BKR reporting…

Read More >>

July 23, 2025

Top Ten Questions Post Our PJM Note…

By Timm Schneider

Reach out for the answers! Full details within. Timm At this capacity price, what energy price is needed to get a ~15% IRR that supports a new gas plant getting built at 2500/kw? What is…

Read More >>

July 23, 2025

PJM Capacity Auction Results Exceed Consensus Expectations… How Lucky I am to Live in Bucolic Central PA (Eye Roll)

By Timm Schneider

Please see within for a detailed summary on today’s PJM auction results. We believe several parameters differed widely from consensus expectations (Read On). At the time of this writing, this is the share price performance…

Read More >>

July 22, 2025

EQT/ MTDR/ RRC Highlight Continued Efficiencies as Production Guide Trends Higher Across the Board…

By Timm Schneider

After the close today, EQT; MTDR; and RRC kicked of E&P reporting season. Within, we highlight some of the key takeaways from the releases – and perhaps more important – some of the common themes,…

Read More >>

July 21, 2025

Natural Gas: Getting a ton of questions today from Media/ Investors/ Corporates…

By Timm Schneider

…on the weakness. Front month NG1 (Aug) and NG2 (Sep) are down ~7% at the time of this writing. Cal 26 is down but more muted at ~3%, on average (not volume weighted). Cal 27…

Read More >>

July 20, 2025

Your Energy & Utility News for the Week Ending July 20th

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are free of charge. However,…

Read More >>

July 19, 2025

~80% Picked Cheniere (LNG) to Replace HES in the S&P 500 Index

By Timm Schneider

…if the CVX transaction closes as expected. This is according to a brief survey we conducted. Are we surprised? No Why not? LNG constantly gets floated as being added to the S&P 500 – but…

Read More >>

July 18, 2025

Natural Gas: Wild End to the Week as Baker Hughes Shows Nine (9!?) Nat Gas Rig Adds w/w

By Timm Schneider

Every Friday (usually), the Baker Hughes rig count comes out at 13:00 ET. It is generally not a huge market mover, but today the report’s addition of nine natural gas rigs (see within by location…

Read More >>

July 14, 2025

Energy Infrastructure/ Midstream M&A: Full Accretion/ Dilution Deals for Most Likely Deals in 2H’25… (Really Telling Who Should Buy & Sell)

By Timm Schneider

…once again, per our recent 2H’2025 outlook survey results, which can be found here: Proprietary 2H’25 Outlook Survey Results Identify Key Trends, Stock Preferences, and Potential M&A Transactions… Versus the Upstream results we published last…

Read More >>

July 13, 2025

Sunday ‘M&A’ Funday. Full Accretion/ Dilution for *THE* Most Likely UPSTREAM Marriages in 2H’25…

By Timm Schneider

at least according to our ~150 survey participants. Link to full results: Proprietary 2H’25 Outlook Survey Results Identify Key Trends, Stock Preferences, and Potential M&A Transactions… We are splitting this into two parts. Upstream &…

Read More >>