Our Research


August 10, 2025

Your Energy & Utility News for the Week Ending August 10th

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are free of charge. However,…

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August 8, 2025

WES: Some Investor Feedback on the ARIS Deal

By Timm Schneider

Please see within for some feedback we have received from our readership base on the heels of the ‘WES for ARIS’ announcement. We have also added a second accretion/ dilution analysis assuming ‘zero’ synergies. Of…

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August 7, 2025

WES: Shares are Down ~3.5%… What to Do?

By Timm Schneider

a few thoughts within… We don’t get a ton of questions on WES (Happy to discuss), but with the stock off ~3.5% it’s probably worth a look here on the long side – even for…

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August 6, 2025

WES for ARIS: Full Accretion/ Dilution Analysis Within. This one wasn’t on our Bingo card…

By Timm Schneider

Please see within for a full detailed Accretion & Dilution analysis on: 1) EPS; 2) FCF; 3) EBITDA/ share; 4) Leverage; and an 5) implied ROCE calculation and a few quick thoughts. This deal was…

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August 6, 2025

Getting questions on this ~$5bn+ Permian gas pipeline announcement from ET… (full implied tariff sensitivities within)

By Timm Schneider

We thought Midstream investors hated huge growth capex projects? Yet the stock is one of the best performers on the day, up ~1.5% at the time of this writing. Does this mean rewarding growth (projects)…

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August 6, 2025

Supermajors: A Detailed Look at Key Themes Post Q2 Earnings (BP/ SHEL/ ENI/ TTE/ CVX/ XOM/ SA)

By Timm Schneider

Rather than digesting commentary from the World’s Super-Majors in isolation, we like to analyze their most recent comments (from Q2’25 earnings) in aggregate in order to identify key themes. After a lot of re-reading transcripts…

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August 4, 2025

Natural Gas: Today we FAFO’d (Fussed Around and Found Out)

By Timm Schneider

Our long options chain got smoked today. *But* here’s at least one silver lining with long call options: no margin calls to worry about, thanks to the structure of these contracts. We took advantage of the sell-off…

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August 4, 2025

Extrapolating Implied Tech Valuations to Identify Energy Infrastructure Bargains

By Timm Schneider

Earlier today, we published a note looking at implied (unlevered) ROIC versus valuation in the Energy infrastructure sector (Measuring Value Creation: Energy Infrastructure ROIC vs. Valuation (The Latter Doesn’t Seem to Matter… Much). We have…

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August 4, 2025

Measuring Value Creation: Energy Infrastructure ROIC vs. Valuation (The Latter Doesn’t Seem to Matter… Much)

By Timm Schneider

Within this report, we analyze the relationship between implied (unlevered) ROIC and 2028E EBITDA multiples across our Energy Infrastructure coverage group. The data show an average unlevered ROIC of approximately 15.6% versus a 2028E EV/EBITDA multiple of roughly 8.8x. To…

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August 3, 2025

ExxonMobil’s (XOM) M&A Playbook: Who Makes the Cut in an Era Where Simply ‘Buying Barrels’ no Longer Counts

By Timm Schneider

ExxonMobil (XOM) finds itself at a crossroads in the energy consolidation wave, and the deck of potential acquisition targets has never been more scrutinized – by investors, analysts, and likely the XOM board itself. Luckily,…

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August 3, 2025

Your Energy & Utility News for the Week Ending August 3rd

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are free of charge. However,…

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August 1, 2025

This will be a long weekend: we are now at 7 potential XOM M&A deals…

By Timm Schneider

… full numbers and pros/ cons on all of these out over weekend (that is the goal). Some of these are great all around. Some of these are great but likely can’t/ won’t happen. Some…

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July 31, 2025

Natural Gas: Rough Week for Our Trading Book to Close Out July

By Timm Schneider

It’s 17:00 ET at the time of this writing so we get an hour of reprieve before electronic futures trading opens up again at 18:00. As always, we share our monthly natural gas trading performance…

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July 31, 2025

What’s the Key Difference Between META and MSFT Earnings Calls (Tech in General) and Energy?

By Timm Schneider

The former add hundreds of billions of market cap on massive capex outlays/ increeases – highlighting the continued AI arms race on the tech side. Or ‘Materialschlacht,’ as we like to coin it (see our…

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July 31, 2025

~20% of Permian Frac Fleets are Doing ‘Stupid Stuff’ at the Moment…

By Timm Schneider

…in terms of pricing. Or better said, keeping fleets active despite the lack of pricing power. At least according to Sam Sledge, CEO of ProPetro Holdings (PUMP) on yesterday’s Q2 earnings call. PUMP is a…

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