Our Research


March 16, 2024

Model Portfolio has Best Week Since Inception as PLUG & Orsted shorts generate outsized gains. PSX, DO & COP added most on long side.

By Timm Schneider

At the time of writing, the author currently holds… nothing. Closed out all natural gas shorts (front end of the curve) on Friday. The juice isn’t worth the squeeze in terms of added stress level…

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March 15, 2024

Is EQT Management at Risk of Being Ousted?

By Timm Schneider

The question caught us off-guard. However, one of the most frequent questions we received this week was whether EQT could potentially be ripe for activism. Investors did not love the ETRN transaction. And some other…

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March 14, 2024

Upcoming Corporate Access & Marketing Events… Off to Houston for CERA Week

By Timm Schneider

We will be meeting with Corporates, Bankers, Equity & Fixed Income Investors, Lawyers, Private Equity and Sovereign Wealth funds next week in Houston. Please let us know if you would like to catch-up! We extended our…

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March 13, 2024

Nat gas (cash) hits low not seen since the Bulls’ last NBA title…

By Timm Schneider

…I grew up in Chicago, so I expect everyone to know the answer: 1998. That was a special year since it marked the (second) ‘three-peat’ after the Bulls also won titles in 1996 & 1997…

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March 13, 2024

Registration Link: An Interactive Dinner Discussion with Ed Morse, Senior Advisor at Hartree Partners LP and Former Head of Citi Global Commodity Strategy

By Timm Schneider

Good morning – The registration link to our next ‘Legends of Energy’ Dinner Series guest is now live. Please note we are only taking indications of interest at this time. LINK: Legends of Energy Dinner…

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March 12, 2024

Weekly Short Interest Increases for all Subsectors Except: 1) E&Ps; and 2) Utilities. Interesting divergence between PAGP & PAA…

By Timm Schneider

Please let us know if you would like to discuss some of the relative set-ups. Please note at the time of writing, the author holds: ***NOTHING*** Limit buy order in for May ’24 HH @…

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March 11, 2024

The Appalachian Ricky Bobby: Why were shares of EQT down ~8% on the day?

By Timm Schneider

Of course we can’t say for sure, but we believe it is tied to a stark presence of more sellers than buyers… An annoying answer to a transaction that annoyed a lot of people, at…

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March 11, 2024

REGISTRATION LINK: Marcus Hook Site Tour w/ Energy Transfer (ET) | Philadelphia, PA | April 2nd

By Timm Schneider

We are excited to announce our upcoming site tour with Energy Transfer (ET) featuring the Marcus Hook Terminal in Philadelphia, PA. Marcus Hook is one of the few larger energy infrastructure sites that I have…

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March 11, 2024

Top Questions/ Comments We Have Received on EQT/ ETRN…

By Timm Schneider

Will AR/ AM be next? If CVX/ HES gets approved, how long will HESM be around? Is this EQT/ ETRN roll-up bullish or bearish for domestic natural gas prices? Who could be a buyer of…

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March 11, 2024

EQT for ETRN? WSJ Reports a Deal Likely Announced Today

By Timm Schneider

Good morning – 5:30AM and another potential Midstream buy-in on the wire. WSJ out with a news article saying a buy-in transaction of ETRN by EQT will likely be announced later today. At the time…

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March 10, 2024

WTH is Georgia House Bill 1192?!… Feedback/ Pushback to our recent Southern Company (SO) note

By Timm Schneider

Utility investors are a special breed – I mean this a positive! Hats off for digging through endless pages of testimony, rate cases, and other regulatory minutia on a daily basis. Given the investors’ immaculate…

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March 10, 2024

All Your Weekly Energy News in One Spot (For the Week Ending March 10th 2024)

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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March 9, 2024

Model Portfolio Gives Back ~150bps on the Week as ‘Short Side’ Takes a Beating. Long PR/ AR & PSX Are Biggest Winners Since Inception.

By Timm Schneider

At the time of writing, the author currently holds… zero stocks (sold down all of the ARLP & C positions this week), BUT a massive levered long nat gas position. Note to self: Maybe think…

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March 6, 2024

‘Gassy’ Permian Well Permits Decline ~25% m/m in February; Oil-Only up ~18%…

By Timm Schneider

We hadn’t spent a ton of time on the Texas Railroad Commission Monthly ‘Summary of Drilling Permits, Completions and Plugging Report’ data. However, the data does came out relatively quickly (a few days post the…

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March 6, 2024

Removing Southern Company (SO) from Our ‘Long’ Model Portfolio Despite Yesterday’s Favorable Outcome in Alabama PSC Race…

By Timm Schneider

Shares of Southern Company are down ~3% YTD, roughly in-line with the UTY Index. SO has been the second worst ‘long’ (after LNG) since inception of our model portfolio on January 10th, down ~5.5%.  ***Effective…

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