Our Research


April 1, 2024

Let’s Play the ‘Who Should Issue Equity’ Game…

By Timm Schneider

Just Kidding – of course! April Fools’ Day! Interpret the data as you wish… Due to the chart sizing this is best viewed on the website. But with the end of Q1 as a marker,…

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March 31, 2024

All Your Weekly Energy News in One Spot (For the Week Ending March 31st 2024)

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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March 31, 2024

All Your Weekly Energy News in One Spot (For the Week Ending March 31st 2024)

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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March 29, 2024

Colorado Oil & Gas Industry Dodges Bullet as SB24-159 is Voted Down…

By Timm Schneider

We believe the market was never really worried about SB24-159, which would have banned new oil and gas drilling in the State of Colorado. Afterall, Colorado has a balanced-budget requirement. We estimate the oil &…

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March 29, 2024

Model Portfolio Up ~50Bps for the Week as Bifurcation Between ‘Long’ & ‘Short’ Side Becomes More Pronounced…

By Timm Schneider

***See Within for Full Portfolio Details*** Overall, the model portfolio is up ~11.5% since inception (up 0.5% on the week) on January 10th. The ‘Long’ return stands at 15.1% (+2.9% w/w) and the ‘Short’ return is…

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March 26, 2024

SB24-159 Could Mean ‘Lights Out’ for Colorado’s Oil & Gas Industry…

By Timm Schneider

…BUT we do not believe the proposed bill has a realistic shot at passing. Colorado needs to balance its budget, afterall. Why are we mentioning it? For those so inclined to follow various legislative processes,…

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March 26, 2024

Short Interest Utilization: Investors More Bearish TRP/ PAGP/ CQP/ APA/ CRC/ EQT/ RIG/ WTRG/ HE/ NPWR/ VTNR/ MAXN/ PLUG/ APA

By Timm Schneider

Please let us know if you would like to discuss some of the relative set-ups. Also for this publication we comp vs. 3-12-2024 as we were out of office last week at CERA. **Excel Data…

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March 24, 2024

Recent Gulf Coast Storage Inked at ~$0.37/dth (p/m); Roughly Double Last Year’s Rate… Snoop Dog Explains ‘Intrinsic’ vs. ‘Extrinsic’ Value

By Timm Schneider

***Unrelated but certainly relevant: Video link to detailed storage market overview (including time stamps) w/ David Marchese – CEO of Caliche within. Deck available upon request*** One key theme out of CERA week is the…

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March 24, 2024

All Your Weekly Energy News in One Spot (For the Week Ending March 24th 2024)

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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March 23, 2024

The CERA Week ‘Word Cloud’: 1) Energy; 2) More; 3) Oil; 4) Gas; 5) LNG; 6) Demand; 7) Price; 8) Global; 9) Power; and 10) Data…

By Timm Schneider

We have some great takeaways from CERA. Especially around the ‘hallway chatter.’ Specifically around some of the broader M&A themes and some of the nuances around ongoing transactions. Headed up to NYC shortly so don’t…

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March 23, 2024

Model Portfolio Pares 60Bps as Short Book Suffers a 2.3% Weekly Loss. Long Book up 1.7%. Overall Return ~11% since Inception.

By Timm Schneider

At the time of writing, the author currently holds no personal security or commodity positions. Had an order in Friday to go long gas (May) after the rig count numbers but it was not filled…

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March 20, 2024

Stop the Bleeding: Effective Immediately, We are Closing Our Kinetik (KNTK) Short…

By Timm Schneider

…for a 15.4% total loss since inception on January 10th. KNTK is our second biggest loser in the model portfolio. Only our HP short has been a worse call (down ~19.3% since inception). We are…

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March 19, 2024

First Takes from CERA: Expect the Energy Consolidation Wave to Continue… And Push Down the Value Chain

By Timm Schneider

‘Our game plan for the domestic Energy Industry would ultimately be a return to the ‘Super-Major’ model: Eliminate public companies stuck in ‘purgatory’ through the creation of larger enterprises being able to take advantage of 1) massive…

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March 17, 2024

We Do Not Believe an Activist is Likely to Emerge at EQT. What Would That Accomplish?

By Timm Schneider

Our Friday note definitely ruffles some feathers: Is EQT management at risk of being ousted? The title was a tad on the aggressive side. However, it was tied to questions we received during the week so…

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March 16, 2024

All Your Weekly Energy News in One Spot (For the Week Ending March 17th 2024)

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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