Our Research


November 20, 2023

Real Time (‘SOL’) w/ Timm Schneider: Interesting bifurcation for PAA vs. PAGP; ENB vs. TRP; BP vs. SHEL; EQNR + More Inside

By Timm Schneider

***Excel Data for ~200 Corporates + Historical Numbers Available Upon Request*** A few interesting observations (As always, please let us know if you have questions interpreting the data): PAA SOL utilization increased by ~3.1% w/w…

Read More >>

November 19, 2023

Your Weekly News Summary for the Week Ending November 19th

By Timm Schneider

Within please find a collection of news for the week. As always, please let us know if you would like to catch-up! We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to…

Read More >>

November 19, 2023

Your Weekly News Summary for the Week Ending November 19th

By Timm Schneider

Within please find a collection of news for the week. As always, please let us know if you would like to catch-up! We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to…

Read More >>

November 19, 2023

Model Portfolio & Trade Idea Performance Tracker… Great Week of Meetings in Houston!

By Timm Schneider

We’re (almost) back in the Northeast post a great week of meetings in Houston. Quick stop-over in Florida. If you are in the Tampa/ St. Pete area tonight… we will be out talking Energy! Hit…

Read More >>

November 16, 2023

Forget Change in Control… What is a CEO’s NPV Optimal Play in the M&A Game?

By Timm Schneider

A few weeks ago we published a comprehensive M&A survey. Who gets bought, who is the buyer etc. Full details on website. In this note we take a look at CEO CIC (Change in Control)…

Read More >>

November 14, 2023

EIA Drilling Productivity Report Shows Strong Permian Volumes; Signs of Declining Bakken & Eagle Ford GORs?

By Timm Schneider

Realize some folks don’t like the EIA (or IEA) data, but the new drilling productivity report just got released yesterday. Also out earlier this morning (U.S. Time), the IEA Monthly Oil Market report. Happy to talk through…

Read More >>

November 13, 2023

Real Time (‘SOL’) with Timm Schneider: Looks Like OFS & Integrated Shorts Are Funding E&P Longs…

By Timm Schneider

***Excel Data Available Upon Request. Full Company Level Details (~200 Corporates) Within*** The following equities exhibited notable w/w changes in their active shares on loan utilization… (we are using end of October as a benchmark…

Read More >>

November 11, 2023

Model Portfolio & Trade Idea Performance Tracker. Anyone Around for the Penn St Game?

By Timm Schneider

Happy Saturday, I will be in the West Village today for the Penn State game if anyone is around and wants to chat Energy. Ping me. Within we provide our updated performance metrics for 1)…

Read More >>

November 10, 2023

***Closing Our Underweight PLUG Position in the Core Model Portfolio***

By Timm Schneider

Shares of PLUG are down ~40% on the day and ~68% since 6/30/2023, the inception of our Core Model Portfolio. We are closing our Underweight position, effective immediately, following the company’s Q3 earnings release and…

Read More >>

November 5, 2023

Model Portfolio Updates & Performance… I Started Naming the Trades…

By Timm Schneider

Biggest Single Stock Losers (Since Inception): UW VLO (-7%) OW KMI (-4%) UW BP (-3%) Biggest Single Stock Winners (Since Inception): UW PLUG (+57%) UW NEE (+25%) OW PXD (+16%; This position has been closed)…

Read More >>

November 5, 2023

Last Min Trip to NYC + Your Weekend News. Good Luck all Marathoners…

By Timm Schneider

…The runners (NYC marathon today). Though I believe Marathon (MPC + MPLX) are well run entities, so I guess good luck to them as well! Also, I had some last minute engagements pop up in…

Read More >>

November 1, 2023

Core Model Portfolio Update: Maintain OW Energy Transfer (ET)…

By Timm Schneider

Following ET’s Q3 1) earnings release; 2) guidance update(s); and 3) conference call, we are maintaining our ‘Overweight’ call as part of our Core Model Portfolio (Book 1). Recall we closed out our OW on…

Read More >>

October 31, 2023

Effective Immediately, We are Removing ‘OW EPD’ from Our Core Model Portfolio

By Timm Schneider

Recall we initiated the OW call on 6/30/2023 at a price of $26.35 per unit. We are closing it out today at a price of ~$26.20 (at time of this writing), for a loss (per unit;…

Read More >>

October 31, 2023

Quick Trading Update on the Model Portfolio (EPD/ SHEL/ ET) + MPLX + KMI… And E&P over Midstream?!

By Timm Schneider

At a very high level – and we don’t want to read too much into EPD’s ‘hot’ capex – but with E&P companies doing more with less broadly speaking (costs/ capex down and production at…

Read More >>

October 30, 2023

M&A Survey Results (Part 2): Full List of Companies; Ranked And Sorted by *Buyer* and *Target*

By Timm Schneider

We received a lot of inbounds after publishing our M&A Survey Results yesterday. If you missed the initial publication, you can access it via the website here: (Part 1) Within, we provide a table that…

Read More >>