Our Research


April 17, 2024

Short Interest Set-Up into Q1 Earnings: Our Proprietary Shares-on-Loan Analysis Implies Lack of Conviction From Both Bulls & Bears. Blah!

By Timm Schneider

Please let us know if you would like to discuss some of the relative set-ups. At the time of writing, the author holds: 1) a long position in the BOIL ETF (Long Nat Gas 2x levered);…

Read More >>

April 16, 2024

Effective Immediately, We Are Closing our SUN Short (5% of Model Portfolio); Maintain ET Long

By Timm Schneider

SUN was a five percent short position within the ‘short’ book of the Model Portfolio. We are closing this short position as of COB 4-16-2024 for a realized return (since inception on January 10th 2024) of…

Read More >>

April 16, 2024

Domestic LNG Feedgas Flows Down ~12% Since Yesterday to ~9.24bcf/d; Domestic Production Declines to ~97.4Bcf/d from ~99.3bcf/d

By Timm Schneider

***Please see within for a detailed breakout by facility. Largest declines since yesterday: 1) Cameron; 2) Sabine; and 3) Corpus*** Production is estimated to be down to ~97.4bcf/d (prior to revisions) versus the recent seven…

Read More >>

April 15, 2024

Haynesville DUCs Hit Record High; Eagle Ford at Record Low; Bakken Down ~40%+ y/y; Permian Gas Production Reaches All-Time High; Waha at *NEGATIVE* $3.065…

By Timm Schneider

Key Takes from the EIA’s April Drilling Productivity Report Earlier today, the EIA released the monthly drilling productivity report (DPR) for April (with updated April preliminary data and initial May projections). We use this report…

Read More >>

April 15, 2024

People Are Saying Really Hurtful Things About Freeport LNG: Framing Recent Investor & Industry Participant Discussions…

By Timm Schneider

…Specifically, is Freeport LNG the ‘Yugo’ of LNG export facilities? What is a ‘Yugo’ ? The Yugo is a car brand, specifically the Yugo GV (also known as the Zastava Koral), which was a subcompact…

Read More >>

April 14, 2024

All Your Weekly Energy News in One Spot (For the Week Ending April 14th 2024)

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

Read More >>

April 13, 2024

Model Portfolio Pares 90bps for the Week. ‘Short’ Book Squeezes out Marginal Gain

By Timm Schneider

***See Within for Full Portfolio Details*** Our model portfolio is up ~16% YTD. It consists of eleven ‘longs’ paired up vs. 14 ‘shorts.’ We made some slight adjustments within the short book this week. We…

Read More >>

April 11, 2024

Shaming Ourselves in Front of the Group: Highlighting the Biggest Single Stock Losers in the Model Portfolio (so far…); Making Slight Weighting Adjustment

By Timm Schneider

With Q2 earnings seasons upon us, we are taking stock of some of the Model Portfolio’s worst performers since inception on January 10th 2024. Our model portfolio has a 12-month time horizon. We don’t have…

Read More >>

April 10, 2024

Weekly Short Interest Utilization Analysis Implies Short Covering in 1) Midstream; and 2) Integrateds & Refiners…

By Timm Schneider

Please let us know if you would like to discuss some of the relative set-ups. At the time of writing, the author holds: 1) a short position in the BOIL ETF (Long Nat Gas 2x levered);…

Read More >>

April 9, 2024

ET Remains Top ‘Long’ in Model Portfolio. Key Takes from Marcus Hook Site Visit

By Timm Schneider

Last week, we took a group of investors to Marcus Hook (South Phila) for a tour of Energy Transfer’s (ET) Marcus Hook Terminal. Even pouring rain could not keep our spirits down! The Marcus Hook…

Read More >>

April 5, 2024

‘All I Do is Win, Win, Win No Matter What…’ – TSCG Model Portfolio (Overheard at Chili’s Happy Hour)… And There Goes the Jinx!

By Timm Schneider

***See Within for Full Portfolio Details*** Well, now that I jinxed it, probably no more gains. It was fun while it lasted… I wonder which one of these positions – either on the ‘long’ or…

Read More >>

April 5, 2024

Texas Upstream Activity Levels Up in March (*Except Permits*) But Operators Show Discipline (For Now) vs. Last Year as DUCs Continue to Draw…

By Timm Schneider

Earlier this week, the Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) released their monthly ‘Summary of Drilling Permits, Completions and Plugging Reports Processed’ for the month of March. Overall activity levels are down substantially on a y/y basis,…

Read More >>

April 4, 2024

Einhorn, Solvay, Soda Ash & Genesis Energy… Feedback to Yesterday’s Note

By Timm Schneider

Within we provide some brief investor feedback and add some context to our write-up from yesterday: WATCH: David Einhorn Loves Belgian Soda Ash. What if I Told You here is a U.S. Way to Play it!…

Read More >>

April 4, 2024

Weekly Short Interest Utilization Lower for *ALL* Energy & Utility Sub-Sectors (First Time Since We Started Keeping Track in 2022)

By Timm Schneider

Please let us know if you would like to discuss some of the relative set-ups. At the time of writing, the author holds: 1) a long position in the KOLD ETF (Short Nat Gas 2x levered);…

Read More >>

April 3, 2024

WATCH: David Einhorn Loves Belgian Soda Ash. What if I Told You There is a U.S. Way to Play It?

By Timm Schneider

Our quick note comes on the heels of David Einhorn’s (Greenlight Capital) presentation at the New York Sohn conference earlier today. His top pick is Solvay (SOLB:BB), a Belgian specialty chemicals company. We know Solvay well…

Read More >>