Our Research


June 9, 2024

Your Weekly Energy News Summary for the Week Ending June 9th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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June 8, 2024

Model Portfolio: Short Book Outperformance Grinds Out ~100bps Overall; Pressing Our NEE Short into the Analyst Day This Week…

By Timm Schneider

Model Portfolio performance versus benchmarks since inception: 1) vs. XOP (Upstream) 1.8%; 2) vs. XLE (Energy) 1.2%; 3) vs. AMNA (Infrastructure) 0.9%; 4) vs. XLU (Utilities) -1.4%; vs. SPX -5.3%. Our Model Portfolio is ahead again…

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June 7, 2024

NATURAL GAS: Rolling Out Our Proprietary U.S. Regional Storage Model and Weekly Storage Forecast; V^2 > P…

By Timm Schneider

We are excited to further enhance the product offering of The Schneider Capital Group (TSCG). ***Details within including detailed regional storage forecasts for the week ending 6/7/2024*** With this report, we are rolling out our…

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June 6, 2024

Largest Moves in w/w ‘SOL’ Utilization: SUN/ ENB/ NPWR/ FCEL/ EQT/ APA/ EQNR/ SU/ TS/ ACDC/ ATO/ NI; E&P ‘SOL’ Bullish, OFS Bearish

By Timm Schneider

See within for detailed stock & sector observations. Charts best viewed on website (link below). We now include full charts (~170 corporates) for 1) Midstream & Energy Infrastructure; 2) Clean Tech/ Renewables/ Alternative Energy; 3)…

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June 5, 2024

Midstream Bankers, Maybe Pick Up the Phone? Deep-Dive M&A Analysis Suggests Midstream M&A Can Be Highly Accretive; Many Upstream Combinations Still Make Sense…

By Timm Schneider

This report constitutes the most comprehensive Energy sector analysis M&A we have published, yet. We build on our prior accretion/ dilution analysis of ~73 hypothetical M&A scenarios in the 1) Upstream; 2) Midstream; and 3)…

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June 5, 2024

Texas Oil Completions Nose-Dive in May While Gas Completions & Permit Counts Rise Slightly… I Have a Question for E&P Operators

By Timm Schneider

Yesterday, the Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) released the monthly ‘Summary of Drilling Permits, Completions and Plugging Reports Processed’ for the month of May. Within we provide a detailed analysis showing: 1) sequential (vs. April 2024);…

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June 5, 2024

Texas Oil Completions Nose-Dive in May While Gas Completions & Permit Counts Rise Slightly… I Have a Question for E&P Operators

By Timm Schneider

Yesterday, the Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) released the monthly ‘Summary of Drilling Permits, Completions and Plugging Reports Processed’ for the month of May. Within we provide a detailed analysis showing: 1) sequential (vs. April 2024);…

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June 4, 2024

2H Equity Returns Required To Reach 52-Week Highs for All Energy & Utility Sub-Sectors

By Timm Schneider

With the end of H1 as a marker, we took a look at equity returns required to reach respective 52-week highs for ~180 issuers across various energy & utility sub-sectors. Said differently, who is trading…

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June 3, 2024

Show Me the Money: CEO Compensation in the Energy Space – Who Can Maximize NPV by Selling (the Company)…

By Timm Schneider

***Please see within for full analysis and takeaways. Tables & charts are best viewed on website*** A few weeks ago we published a comprehensive sector M&A analysis (‘The Summer of M&A’ Series Part I: We…

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June 2, 2024

Your Weekly Energy News Summary for the Week Ending June 2nd 2024. Also I.I. Voting Season has started…

By Timm Schneider

…and I am extremely excited – for the first time ever – not to have to beg for votes like my bulge bracket counterparts 🙂 That said, I am extremely grateful for all your support…

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June 1, 2024

Model Portfolio: Wish I did not have to publish this… But the Truth Shall Set You Free!

By Timm Schneider

Overall the model portfolio is up 6.5% since inception on January 10th. The long book is up 15.2% and the short book is down 8.7%. Our NEE short position remains the largest underperformer (from being one…

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May 28, 2024

Effective Immediately, Energy Transfer (ET; Long) is Under Portfolio Review

By Timm Schneider

why? We are currently evaluating portfolio weights and ET is our largest holding on the long side at this time (17%). We are considering alternative weights and rankings for several of our model portfolio constituents….

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May 26, 2024

Your Weekly Energy News Summary for the Week Ending May 26th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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May 20, 2024

Sentiment Check: Bullish 1) OFS; 2) Midstream; 3) and Clean Tech. Bearish: 1) Integrateds & Refiners; 2) E&P; Mixed Utes…

By Timm Schneider

…on the heels of our updates ‘shares on loan utilization.’ We were a tad surprised at the relative bearishness on E&P stocks given the massive nat gas move higher. The two stocks with the largest…

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May 19, 2024

Natural Gas: Back to the Drawing Board… Taking a Look at Implied Storage Balances and Rolling Out Our Regional Storage Model

By Timm Schneider

With this note, we are rolling out our detailed regional natural gas storage model. We now track and forecast storage balances for the following regions: 1) Lower 48 Total; 2) East; 2) Pacific; 3) Mountain;…

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