Our Research


February 12, 2024

Wait?! So E&P Stocks Can Actually Go Up? Feedback on FANG/ Endeavor…

By Timm Schneider

Within we share some of the feedback from our discussions with investors. Shares of FANG finished the day up ~14% to ~$166 per share. This makes FANG the best performer out of our Upstream coverage,…

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February 11, 2024

Nat Gas Bears Are Calling For Sub-$1.50… Bulls Hope for Colder Weather

By Timm Schneider

But is it really a weather (demand… or lack thereof) or production (supply) story? Interested in your thoughts, as always… We had a lot of discussions on natural gas this week, despite a very busy…

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February 11, 2024

All Your Weekly Energy News in One Spot (For the Week Ending February 11th 2024)

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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February 10, 2024

Model Portfolio 1st Month Post-Mortem: Outperforms Benchmarks; ‘Long’ PSX and ‘Short’ NFE Are Portfolio Champions…

By Timm Schneider

At the time of writing, the author currently holds a ‘1) long’ position in shares of ARLP, Alliance Resource Partners L.P.; 2) a ‘long’ position in shares of Citigroup (C); and 3) a short position…

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February 9, 2024

Why are shares of PAA/ PAGP not trading better today on solid print & outlook? We are Buyers on Weakness…

By Timm Schneider

Of course, we can’t say for sure, BUT equities of both entities are (as of 13:00 EST) actually outperforming the overall group today. Further, PAA is up ~2% YTD versus MLP peers ET up ~0.70%,…

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February 7, 2024

BP (N/R) M&A Survey Results. 100% of Respondents Believe…

By Timm Schneider

…there is a 0% chance BP is a buyer of anything… Thx to all!.  The impetus for the survey was our note from February 6th 2024: BP Just Became the ‘Belle of the Ball:’ SHELL or COP…

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February 7, 2024

ENPH: CEO is Calling the Bottom… Stock Up ~15% AH Despite Lackluster Q. Buy the Rip or Short for a Dip?

By Timm Schneider

Shares of ENPH are up ~15% AH at the time of this writing. The quarter (not great) itself wasn’t the reason for the jump in the share price. That said, the CEO noted on the call…

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February 6, 2024

BP Just Became the ‘Belle of the Ball:’ SHELL or COP Should be Buyers… Maybe One Other…

By Timm Schneider

e-mail for thoughts… I can’t listen to this analyst meeting anymore. ***WHY IS EVERYONE MISSING THE POINT. BP IS NOW THE PRIME TAKEOUT TARGET*** …We have a lot of thoughts on this. But like I…

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February 5, 2024

Investors Turn More Bearish Oilfield Services & Utilities Since the Beginning of Earnings; Less Bearish E&P

By Timm Schneider

Please let us know if you would like to discuss some of the relative set-ups. Please note at the time of writing, the author holds: 1) a ‘long’ position in shares of ARLP, Alliance Resource…

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February 4, 2024

All Your Weekly Energy News in One Spot (For the Week Ending February 4th 2024)

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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February 3, 2024

Model Portfolio Short Book Takes a Beating on PLUG Surge, Though Shorts Still Best Overall Since Inception. PSX Wins on Long Side

By Timm Schneider

PLUG went from ‘Worst’ to ‘First’ (relative versus our last note) on the heels of first hydrogen production at its Georgia plant, catching shorts on the wrong side of the trade (though PLUG is still…

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January 28, 2024

Model Portfolio Gives Back ~50bps for the Week… PLUG/ HP/ NFE Shorts Biggest Outperformers Since Inception Jan 10th

By Timm Schneider

…as ‘Short’ side pares some of last week’s outsized gains. Overall, the model portfolio is up ~7.2% since inception on January 10th. The ‘Long’ return stands at ~2.1% and the ‘Short’ return is ~5.1%. Recall…

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January 28, 2024

All Your Weekly Energy News in One Spot (For the Week Ending January 28th 2024)

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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January 22, 2024

SUN for NS: Winner, Winner, Chicken Dinner… Kelcy (Finally) Bags His White Whale. Own ET

By Timm Schneider

…Though today’s joint merger call made sure to convey this is strictly a SUN acquisition. Also, does one ‘bag’ a whale or ‘catch’ a whale? Bag the elephant, catch the whale? Whatever… here you go:…

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January 22, 2024

Investor Grow More Bearish on 1) Integrateds & Refiners; 2) E&P; and 3) OFS. Midstream and Utilities More Bullish w/ Clean Tech Mixed

By Timm Schneider

Please let us know if you would like to discuss some of the relative set-ups into earnings! Overall notable w/w changes (Active ‘SOL’) utilization: Higher (Bearish – with the caveat shorted shares will need to be covered,…

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