Our Research


October 9, 2023

Real Time (‘SOL’) with Timm Schneider: E&P Short Interest Down w/w as Integrateds & Refiners See Large Increase…

By Timm Schneider

…SUN/ TRP/ WES/ UAN/ BEP/ MAXN/ VTNR/ VTLE/ EQNR/ DK/ RNGR/ FTI/ CLB/ AGR/ OGE/ IDA/ VST with largest w/w % moves (details within). ***Excel Data Available Upon Request. Full Company Level Details (~200 Corporates) Within***…

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October 8, 2023

Across the Energy & Utility Value Chain: Weekly News Summary (For Week Ending 10-08-2023)

By Timm Schneider

We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are free of charge. However, in order to access the…

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October 7, 2023

Happy National C3 Day! Model Portfolio Has Best Week Since Inception…

By Timm Schneider

C3 = Propane. Naturally! October 7th is National Propane Day. Hope you are out celebrating! …OW DVN Is a (painful) Drag. UW Plug & NEE Drive Outperformance. OW KMI Keeps Lid on Tactical Trade. Is it…

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October 6, 2023

‘This One Feels Real’… Early Feedback to XOM for PXD Chatter (per WSJ); Reiterate OW PXD vs. UW XOM

By Timm Schneider

We are reiterating our OW PXD vs. UW XOM tactical call as part of our broader model portfolio. Please see within for a collection of early investor feedback to the WSJ article from last night,…

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October 5, 2023

XOM for PXD… Again?! WSJ Reporting a Deal Might be Close

By Timm Schneider

Links work for active subscribers only ***Please see within for a list of E&P short interest (active utilization; as of yesterday). Several Permian SMID caps are heavily shorted in terms of active utilization. PXD is…

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October 5, 2023

Plains (PAA/GP) Take-Out Analysis Reveals the Opposite of Our Expectations…

By Timm Schneider

We initially started our scenario analysis with 13 potential buyers for Plains. We quickly whittled this down to five. Within we detail why we eliminated certain companies. Recall the impetus for our analysis was our…

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October 4, 2023

Energy Sell-Off By The Numbers: Tracking Real Time Short Interest (Since Monday) & Money Flow for all Subsectors

By Timm Schneider

Ugly day in (public) Energy Equities today. The XLE (S&P 500 Energy) finished the day down ~3.37% versus the S&P overall up ~0.80%. E&P companies fared worse, down ~4.16% (XOP) on the day. Oilfield Services…

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October 2, 2023

Real Time (‘SOL’) with Timm Schneider: Live Short Interest Set-Up into Q4’23…

By Timm Schneider

…PAA/ PAGP/ TRP/ WES/ CEQP/ NS/ GEL/ NEXT/ NPWR/ AMTX/ VTNR/ PR/ NOG/ EQNR/ ACDC/ PR/ HE with larges w/w % moves (either higher or lower; see inside) ***Excel Data Available Upon Request. Full Company…

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October 1, 2023

Across the Energy & Utility Value Chain: Weekly News Summary (For Week Ending 9-29-2023)

By Timm Schneider

We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are free of charge. However, in order to access the…

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September 30, 2023

‘Schadenfreude’ Pushes to the Fore As Renewables Continue(d) to Get Hammered in Q3…

By Timm Schneider

scha*den*freu*de. Noun. German. Pleasure derived from another’s misfortune. …Model Portfolio up ~12% in Q3 as UW NEE (+30%) & UW PLUG (+37%) add outsized gains. Refining UW was biggest loser in Q3. Refiners overall were…

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September 30, 2023

Been working on this Plains (PAA/GP) Takeout Scenario Analysis… What an Awesome Idea (*Eye Roll*)

By Timm Schneider

…As promised on Wednesday (If Pushback to UW Plains (PAA/GP) is ‘They Are a Takeout’… Who Could (Would) Buy Them?!). So far: Realizing this was a lot more fun (for me) when I had an…

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September 27, 2023

If Pushback to UW Plains (PAA/GP) Is ‘They Are a Takeout’… Who Could (Would) Buy Them?!

By Timm Schneider

We published a trade idea on Friday: OW OKE vs. UW PAA/GP (link) Today we published feedback to the trade idea: The ‘Bakken Sucks’ and ‘Plains is a Takeout Candidate…’ Ok great! So you think…

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September 27, 2023

Pushback to our OW OKE & UW PAA/GP Call: The ‘Bakken Sucks’ and ‘Plains is a Takeout Candidate…’

By Timm Schneider

…has been one piece of pushback that has been lobbed at us on the heels of our OW OKE vs. UW PAA/PAGP call (link). Truth be told, this isn’t a new thesis and has simply…

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September 25, 2023

Short Sellers Ease Off 1) E&Ps; and 2) Integrateds/ Refiners While Increasing ‘Renewable/ Alt Energy’ Shorts…

By Timm Schneider

***Excel Data Available Upon Request. Full Company Level Details (~200 Corporates) Within*** Shares on Loan (‘SOL’) are simply shares that lenders (agent + other) have lent to market participants wanting to ‘short’ a particular security. For…

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September 25, 2023

***Initiating New Pair Trade: OW OKE vs. UW PAA/ PAGP***

By Timm Schneider

On Friday September 22nd, we moved OKE to an OW (Moving OKE to OW. Is Permian Oil the Fitting UW?). We spent the weekend contemplating various underweight ‘match-ups,’ following our initial comments from Friday. Quick…

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