Our Research


July 22, 2024

ENB & NEP Emerge as Most Hated Stocks into 2H’24: Proprietary Outlook Survey (Part 1)

By Timm Schneider

Thx for the ~150 responses! In order to keep the information more digestible, we have separated our proprietary 2H’24 Outlook survey into three parts. Part 1 (details within) focuses on most liked and most disliked…

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July 21, 2024

WEEKEND READING: Your Energy News Summary for the Week Ending July 21th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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July 18, 2024

‘Hurry Up and Wait:’ Kinder Morgan (KMI; N/R) and Liberty Energy (LBRT; N/R) Kicked Off Q2 Earnings Yesterday…

By Timm Schneider

We do not have a horse in the race with either company via our model portfolio. Our larger Midstream Longs are ET (10%); OKE (9%); and LNG (9%). We have a small TRP short at…

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July 17, 2024

Final Sentiment Check Ahead of Q2 using Real-Time Short Interest Data (Active Shares on Loan Utilization)

By Timm Schneider

Most important… please continue to fill out our outlook survey if you have not done so:  TSCG 2024 2H Energy Outlook Survey ***Charts best viewed on website (link below). Full details within*** We believe the…

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July 17, 2024

Model Portfolio: Adding Talen Energy (TLN) as a Long With a 7% Weight

By Timm Schneider

Effective immediately, we are adding Talen Energy (TLN) as a Long to our model portfolio with a 7% weight. We are reducing our 17% Long weight on ET to 10%. ET remains one of our…

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July 16, 2024

Random sector thoughts into Q2 Earnings Season… (thx to the almost 100 survey respondents already)

By Timm Schneider

There is still time to fill out our 2024 2H Outlook Survey: SURVEY LINK (PLEASE FILL OUT) Kinder Morgan kicks off Energy Earnings Season on Wednesday July 18th. Putting together a few one-liners (everyone likes…

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July 14, 2024

Our ‘Great Bakken Consolidation’ Theme, Part 2: What Would a Hypothetical Acquisition of Continental Resources (Private) Look Like?

By Timm Schneider

…by DVN (Long; 6% weight in model portfolio). *But* we can run this for any potential acquirer as we have put together a full CLR operating model. Let us know if you would like us…

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July 14, 2024

Model Portfolio: All of Our Shorts Were Down this Week; Likely Volatile Week of Trading Ahead (Ping us if you want to discuss set-up before tomorrow’s open)

By Timm Schneider

***Most important*** If you have not filled our our 2H’24 Outlook Energy & Utility Outlook survey, please do so. Link to survey: https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/TL6V8BL Most discussed stocks this week (irrespective of Model Portfolio): Refiners; KMI (N/R); WMB…

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July 13, 2024

WEEKEND READING: Your Energy News Summary for the Week Ending July 14th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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July 10, 2024

Weekly Sentiment Gauge (Tracking Real-Time ‘SOL’ Utilization) Notables: WES/PAA vs. TRP; VTNR vs. FREY; CRK vs. MTDR; CVI vs. EQNR; TS vs. NBR; HE vs. PNW/ SWX/ SO

By Timm Schneider

***Charts best viewed on website (link below). Full details within*** We believe the individual stock break-down is most helpful for those investors trying to gauge short-term sentiment changes. Stocks that caught our attention this week…

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July 9, 2024

Could DVN Become ‘The’ Bakken Consolidator (Part 1: Hypothetical DVN for CHRD Accretion/ Dilution Analysis)

By Timm Schneider

We *love* putting the cart in front of the proverbial horse… This will be a three part series. 1) DVN for CHRD (contained within); 2) DVN for CLR (Private); and 3) DVN for HES’ Bakken…

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July 8, 2024

Investor Feedback and some Thoughts on DVN’s (Long; 6% Weight) ~$5bn Grayson Mill Bakken Acquisition. COP, Just Buy DVN Already Please?!

By Timm Schneider

1) Conference Call Word Cloud; and 2) Most Used Words (we find this extremely telling in showing what management is trying to get across) within. Maintain long in the model portfolio at a 6% weight…

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July 8, 2024

Texas Oil & Gas Activity Continues its (Precipitous) Decline. We Can’t Reconcile This With Select Equity Price Performance…

By Timm Schneider

Happy to chat on specific stocks, as always. Earlier Today, The Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) released the monthly ‘Summary of Drilling Permits, Completions and Plugging Reports Processed’ for the month of June. Within we provide…

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July 8, 2024

Tell Me What You Really Think: 2H’24 Energy & Utility Outlook Survey (100% Anonymous; Works on Mobile…)

By Timm Schneider

Please feel free to share this link within your organization. We run this via surveymonkey so it is 100% anonymous. 1-2 mins max. Interested in your thoughts. Link to survey: TSCG 2H’24 Energy & Utility…

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July 7, 2024

Natural Gas: Freeport LNG Early Nominations Down to ~0.3bcf; Bulls & Bears Battle as Some TX Pipeline Operators Stop Taking Injections…

By Timm Schneider

First, with tropical storm Beryl rapidly approaching the Texas Gulf Coast, we hope everybody stays safe and sound. A storm surge of up to six feet is expected in certain areas with gusts up to…

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