Our Research


August 29, 2024

Effective Immediately, We are Reducing Our ONEOK (OKE) Long Weight in the Model Portfolio to 3% from 8%

By Timm Schneider

We are marking the position reduction at an intra-day price (~9:45AM) of $88.65. OKE has been one of the best performers in the portfolio since inception on January 10th. We estimate total return of ~30%….

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August 29, 2024

Effective Immediately, We are Reducing Our ONEOK (OKE) Long Weight in the Model Portfolio to 3% from 8%

By Timm Schneider

We are marking the position reduction at an intra-day price (~9:45AM) of $88.65. OKE has been one of the best performers in the portfolio since inception on January 10th. We estimate total return of ~30%….

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August 29, 2024

Full ‘OKE for ENLC’ Accretion/ Dilution Analysis & Initial Deal Feedback/ Thoughts/ Questions Within. Would Have Loved OKE for PAA, But Hey…

By Timm Schneider

Key Takes: Initial deal math checks out but implies more accretion on the ENLC side of things vs. Medallion (Read On). Several questions on read-throughs for OKE’s base business in the Bakken. Could someone come…

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August 28, 2024

Energy Sentiment Check Using Real-Time Short Interest Shows Sentiment Improving Across *ALL* Energy Subsectors vs. Last Week

By Timm Schneider

***Charts best viewed on website (link below). Full details within*** This is real-time data we receive from our prime broker, not lagged data you see on Bloomberg, FactSet, etc. Shares on Loan (‘SOL’) are simply shares…

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August 27, 2024

Natural Gas: Updated Storage Balances and Scenarios. We Are Now Long the OCT-24 (T+1) Contract (Embrace the Volatility…)

By Timm Schneider

Within we provide a detailed table showing our official TSCG (The Schneider Capital Group) Naturel Gas storage balance forecast through the end of the year (and highlighted end of injection season). We believe the biggest…

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August 27, 2024

Natural Gas: Updated Storage Balances and Scenarios. We Are Now Long the OCT-24 (T+1) Contract (Embrace the Volatility…)

By Timm Schneider

Within we provide a detailed table showing our official TSCG (The Schneider Capital Group) Naturel Gas storage balance forecast through the end of the year (and highlighted end of injection season). We believe the biggest…

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August 25, 2024

WEEKEND READING: Your Energy News Summary for the Week Ending Aug 25th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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August 21, 2024

Natural Gas: I Am Arguing w/ Natural Gas (Price) Bulls on a Daily Basis Now… Curve is (Still) Too High

By Timm Schneider

But first: For Tomorrow’s EIA Storage number we are forecasting an injection of ~24Bcf, slightly below consensus estimates calling for a ~25Bcf add. The prior five year average is 41bcf. We have been high the…

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August 21, 2024

Real-Time Short Interest Shows Souring Sentiment on Small Scale Nuclear; Investors Cover Integrated/ Majors/ Refiners; Midstream and OFS (?) Shorts…

By Timm Schneider

***Charts best viewed on website (link below). Full details within*** This is real-time data we receive from our prime broker, not lagged data you see on Bloomberg, FactSet, etc. Shares on Loan (‘SOL’) are simply shares…

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August 20, 2024

Which Midstream Companies Create Value? One Picture. 10 Seconds… To Read… This Actually Took a While to Put Together

By Timm Schneider

We look at ~21 companies in our coverage universe (in alphabetical order): AM/ ARIS/ CQP/ DTM/ ENB-CA/ ENLC/ EPD ET/ GEL/ HESM/ KMI/ KNTK/ LNG/ MPLX/ OKE/ PAA/ SUN/ TRGP TRP-CA/ WES/ WMB. The below…

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August 20, 2024

Which Midstream Companies Create Value? One Picture. 10 Seconds… To Read… This Actually Took a While to Put Together

By Timm Schneider

We look at ~21 companies in our coverage universe (in alphabetical order): AM/ ARIS/ CQP/ DTM/ ENB-CA/ ENLC/ EPD ET/ GEL/ HESM/ KMI/ KNTK/ LNG/ MPLX/ OKE/ PAA/ SUN/ TRGP TRP-CA/ WES/ WMB. The below…

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August 19, 2024

Domestic E&Ps Can Return ~20%+ of Market Cap Equivalent To Shareholders While Reducing Leverage ~45% from 2025 – 2027E. Is it Enough?

By Timm Schneider

…If one were to believe Street Estimates for the sector to 2027E from 2025E. Street estimates for our ~30 company E&P coverage universe currently imply ~$72.50/bbl WTI and ~$3.75/mcf Henry Hub, on average from 2025…

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August 18, 2024

WEEKEND READING: Your Energy News Summary for the Week Ending Aug 18th 2024

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

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August 17, 2024

Model Portfolio: Back to YTD Highs as Week Adds 200bps of performance. Short Book Exhibits Volatility as Orsted ‘Whiff’ (Partially) Offset NEP and PLUG Strength…

By Timm Schneider

Most discussed stocks this week (irrespective of Model Portfolio): TLN (Long); GEV; CVX; OKE (Long); TRP (Short); DVN (Long); PR (Long) Model Portfolio Total Relative Return (+17.4% Total Return) versus Major Benchmarks Since Inception on January…

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August 14, 2024

Real-Time Short Interest Analysis (Once Again) Picks Up Relevant Changes in Sector Sentiment for Energy & Utilities (Post Earnings Summary)

By Timm Schneider

***Charts best viewed on website (link below). Full details within*** This is real-time data we receive from our prime broker, not lagged data you see on Bloomberg, FactSet, etc. Shares on Loan (‘SOL’) are simply…

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