Our Research


November 10, 2023

***Closing Our Underweight PLUG Position in the Core Model Portfolio***

By Timm Schneider

Shares of PLUG are down ~40% on the day and ~68% since 6/30/2023, the inception of our Core Model Portfolio. We are closing our Underweight position, effective immediately, following the company’s Q3 earnings release and…

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November 5, 2023

Model Portfolio Updates & Performance… I Started Naming the Trades…

By Timm Schneider

Biggest Single Stock Losers (Since Inception): UW VLO (-7%) OW KMI (-4%) UW BP (-3%) Biggest Single Stock Winners (Since Inception): UW PLUG (+57%) UW NEE (+25%) OW PXD (+16%; This position has been closed)…

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November 5, 2023

Last Min Trip to NYC + Your Weekend News. Good Luck all Marathoners…

By Timm Schneider

…The runners (NYC marathon today). Though I believe Marathon (MPC + MPLX) are well run entities, so I guess good luck to them as well! Also, I had some last minute engagements pop up in…

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November 1, 2023

Core Model Portfolio Update: Maintain OW Energy Transfer (ET)…

By Timm Schneider

Following ET’s Q3 1) earnings release; 2) guidance update(s); and 3) conference call, we are maintaining our ‘Overweight’ call as part of our Core Model Portfolio (Book 1). Recall we closed out our OW on…

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October 31, 2023

Effective Immediately, We are Removing ‘OW EPD’ from Our Core Model Portfolio

By Timm Schneider

Recall we initiated the OW call on 6/30/2023 at a price of $26.35 per unit. We are closing it out today at a price of ~$26.20 (at time of this writing), for a loss (per unit;…

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October 31, 2023

Quick Trading Update on the Model Portfolio (EPD/ SHEL/ ET) + MPLX + KMI… And E&P over Midstream?!

By Timm Schneider

At a very high level – and we don’t want to read too much into EPD’s ‘hot’ capex – but with E&P companies doing more with less broadly speaking (costs/ capex down and production at…

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October 30, 2023

M&A Survey Results (Part 2): Full List of Companies; Ranked And Sorted by *Buyer* and *Target*

By Timm Schneider

We received a lot of inbounds after publishing our M&A Survey Results yesterday. If you missed the initial publication, you can access it via the website here: (Part 1) Within, we provide a table that…

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October 30, 2023

Real Time (‘SOL’) with Timm Schneider: Are Integrateds/ Refiners a Source of Funds for E&Ps?!

By Timm Schneider

***Excel Data Available Upon Request. Full Company Level Details (~200 Corporates) Within*** The following equities exhibited notable w/w changes in their active shares on loan utilization… Higher: SUN/ GEL/ PAGP/ NPWR/ BE/ RUN/ FCEL/ VTLE/ SD/…

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October 29, 2023

M&A Survey ‘Most Mentioned:’ 1) DVN; 2) COP; 3) PR; 4) MRO; and 5) TRGP… But the Plot Thickens

By Timm Schneider

Thank you for the well over 200 responses! This is one of the most comprehensive M&A surveys we have ever performed! Affiliation of survey takers: 1) ~37% Portfolio Company/ Corporate; 2) ~21% Long-Only; 3) ~17%…

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October 29, 2023

Your Weekend News Catch-up… Also, Why Did the Ghost Go Into the Bar?!

By Timm Schneider

…For the boos… Happy Sunday! We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are free of charge. However,…

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October 25, 2023

***Adding SHEL OW and Removing DVN from our Core Model Portfolio***

By Timm Schneider

Effective immediately, we are removing DVN as an Overweight from our Model Portfolio Number 1 (our Core Portfolio), for a one percent relative loss since inception. ***We are adding SHEL to replace DVN*** We believe…

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October 25, 2023

Effective Immediately, We Are Closing our OW OKE vs. UW PAA/ PAGP Trade Idea

By Timm Schneider

The total return for this trade is ~3% based on closing prices on 10/25/2023. We initially put this trade on 9/25/2023: Link This is not a call on the respective quarters. Please see within for…

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October 25, 2023

***30 Second M&A Survey (Works on Mobile Devices); 100% Anonymous***

By Timm Schneider

Tell us what you really think… Multiple choice for your top three ‘marriage’ pairs. As always, 100% anonymous. LINK: The Schneider Capital Group ***M&A Outlook Survey*** Please feel free to share this link within your…

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October 24, 2023

What Gym Exercise do Ghosts Like Best?

By Timm Schneider

…Dead Lifts… So much going, so little time. Shoot us an e-mail if you want to catch-up on positioning etc. Quick model portfolio and trade idea performance updates below. ***Model Portfolio 1: Total Return since…

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October 23, 2023

Real Time (‘SOL’) with Timm Schneider: Integrated & Refiner Short Interest Ticks Up as OFS Goes the Opposite Direction…

By Timm Schneider

***Excel Data Available Upon Request. Full Company Level Details (~200 Corporates) Within*** The following equities exhibited notable w/w changes in their active shares on loan utilization… Higher: GEL/ ARLP/ MPLX/ NPWR/ PAL/ TPIC/ EVA/ MTDR/…

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