Our Research


February 4, 2024

All Your Weekly Energy News in One Spot (For the Week Ending February 4th 2024)

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

Read More >>

February 3, 2024

Model Portfolio Short Book Takes a Beating on PLUG Surge, Though Shorts Still Best Overall Since Inception. PSX Wins on Long Side

By Timm Schneider

PLUG went from ‘Worst’ to ‘First’ (relative versus our last note) on the heels of first hydrogen production at its Georgia plant, catching shorts on the wrong side of the trade (though PLUG is still…

Read More >>

January 28, 2024

Model Portfolio Gives Back ~50bps for the Week… PLUG/ HP/ NFE Shorts Biggest Outperformers Since Inception Jan 10th

By Timm Schneider

…as ‘Short’ side pares some of last week’s outsized gains. Overall, the model portfolio is up ~7.2% since inception on January 10th. The ‘Long’ return stands at ~2.1% and the ‘Short’ return is ~5.1%. Recall…

Read More >>

January 28, 2024

All Your Weekly Energy News in One Spot (For the Week Ending January 28th 2024)

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

Read More >>

January 22, 2024

SUN for NS: Winner, Winner, Chicken Dinner… Kelcy (Finally) Bags His White Whale. Own ET

By Timm Schneider

…Though today’s joint merger call made sure to convey this is strictly a SUN acquisition. Also, does one ‘bag’ a whale or ‘catch’ a whale? Bag the elephant, catch the whale? Whatever… here you go:…

Read More >>

January 22, 2024

Investor Grow More Bearish on 1) Integrateds & Refiners; 2) E&P; and 3) OFS. Midstream and Utilities More Bullish w/ Clean Tech Mixed

By Timm Schneider

Please let us know if you would like to discuss some of the relative set-ups into earnings! Overall notable w/w changes (Active ‘SOL’) utilization: Higher (Bearish – with the caveat shorted shares will need to be covered,…

Read More >>

January 21, 2024

All Your Weekly Energy News in One Spot (For the Week Ending January 21th 2024)

By Timm Schneider

For the news, we include a brief summary description for each headline. We only include links to news sources that do NOT require you to have a subscription to the respective site, or if they do, they are…

Read More >>

January 20, 2024

Model Portfolio Grinds Out ~5% Relative for the Week; Short Book Carries *All* the Weight…

By Timm Schneider

…with an almost 8% weighted return versus a ~1.6% weighted loss on the Long side. To all the Buy-Siders always complaining there are not enough ‘short’ recommendations, we have plenty within. Recall the core model…

Read More >>

January 19, 2024

Most Hated in Energy: 1) Clean Tech & Renewables; 2) Ammonia & Hydrogen; and 3) the SCOOP/ STACK…

By Timm Schneider

…at least according to your responses to our proprietary 2024 Energy Outlook Survey! This will be the final installment of the survey results. Within we discuss: 1) Favorite and Least Favorite Energy Sub-Sectors; 2) Most…

Read More >>

January 18, 2024

‘I’ve been a buyer of KMI shares. I purchased over 800,000 shares in December [2013] alone. So I guess my message…’

By Timm Schneider

‘…to those who saw the story less positively was, you’ll sell, I’ll buy, and we see who comes out best in the long run’ – Richard Kinder, Kinder Morgan Q4’13 Earnings Call (January 16th 2014)…

Read More >>

January 17, 2024

Framing 2024 Commodity Price Expectations (Oil/ Gas/ C2/ C3) as Half of Survey Respondents Still View Oil as Key Driver of Sector Performance

By Timm Schneider

Within we discuss the results of our recent 2024 Energy Outlook Survey (~200 responses) focused on participant commodity price expectations for 2024. We believe this is an important piece in the overall process of defining…

Read More >>

January 16, 2024

Short Interest Set-Up into Energy & Utility Earnings Shows Slightly Bearish 1) E&P; and 2) Midstream Bias…

By Timm Schneider

Please let us know if you would like to discuss some of the relative set-ups into earnings! Overall notable w/w changes (Active ‘SOL’) utilization: Higher (Bearish – with the caveat shorted shares will need to be covered,…

Read More >>

January 14, 2024

Core Model Portfolio Generates ~2.5% Relative Return Since Inception On Jan 10th (Yes, Two Days Ago…)

By Timm Schneider

I can’t take credit for any of it at this point. These are all of the survey responses. See the website for details. Short portfolio beat out the longs by ~100bps relative. ***Please see within…

Read More >>

January 14, 2024

From Continued Middle East Tensions to GasMasters United…. All Your Weekly Energy News in One Spot (Week Ending Jan-14th 2024)

By Timm Schneider

GasMasters United, of course, is the name ChatGPT suggested would be appropriate for the newly merged CHK-SWN when I queried a few days ago. It’s so bad, I’m almost starting to like it. But to all the…

Read More >>

January 12, 2024

2024 Energy M&A Outlook (Survey Part II): Endeavor (Private) Voted as Overwhelming Takeout Target + Other Interesting Combos Within…

By Timm Schneider

As promised, here is Part II of our proprietary 2024 Energy Outlook Survey, focused on the M&A landscape. Recall we published Part I (The composition of our core model portfolio earlier this week: link). We…

Read More >>